UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns odds, top predictions: MMA insider gives surprising fight card picks

Tyron Woodley says his plan is to take Gilbert Burns “into deep waters” on Saturday when they meet in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns in Las Vegas. The former champion is relying on his elite-level experience when he meets the sixth-ranked contender at the UFC’s Apex facility to headline the 11-bout UFC Fight Night card. The main UFC fight card is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET.

Woodley told the media this week he believes he has an advantage because Burns has never been in a five-round fight, while Woodley has gone the distance in four of his past five bouts, all title fights. But the red-hot Burns, who has won five straight, insists he is ready for the challenge. Woodley is a -180 favorite (risk $180 to win $100), while Burns is a +155 underdog in the latest MMA odds at William Hill for the May 30 UFC fight card. Before you make any UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns picks, make sure you see what SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley has to say. 

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and DFS shows. Over the past 15 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $20,000. 

At UFC Fight Night on May 16 in Jacksonville, Marley accurately predicted that underdog Alistair Overeem (+145) would finish Walt Harris (-165) in a battle of heavyweight contenders. The MMA analyst reasoned the veteran Overeem’s more varied skill set would be the difference. He was proven correct after Overeem survived an early flurry and got the fight to the mat, where he finished Harris with ground-and-pound in the second round. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night on May 30 fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available at SportsLine. 

Woodley vs. Burns preview

The MMA handicapper knows the May 30 main event will likely be a major turning point in the careers of both fighters. Woodley has seen one of the most successful runs in UFC welterweight history marred by inactivity due to various injuries and criticism from what some observers view as a conservative fighting style. 

Woodley (19-4-1) memorably knocked out Robbie Lawler in the first round of their July 2016 bout to win the title and made four successful title defenses. But he was listless in his lopsided decision loss to Usman, who used his wrestling and cage control to dominate their fight. The former champion turned 38 in April and a loss to Burns could mean a long road back to title contention.

Burns (18-3) heads to the Apex facility as one of the promotion’s hottest fighters. The 33-year-old Brazilian has flirted on the outskirts of the rankings since making his UFC debut in 2014. But he has been on a roll since a July 2018 loss to Dan Hooker, with a series of impressive outings among his five consecutive victories. 

Burns knocked out revered submission specialist Demian Maia in March and immediately asked for a bout with a top contender. He called for a fight with Woodley on social media and the former champion obliged. You can see Marley’s full Woodley vs. Burns predictions and picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night predictions for May 30

We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions for the May 30 card here: He is backing Daniel Rodriguez (-330) to get a stoppage win against Gabriel Green (+260) in a welterweight battle. 

Green (9-2) is a late replacement who is stepping for Kevin Holland, who had to withdraw from the bout because of an injury. Green will be making his UFC debut on Saturday following a run of standout performances in promotions like Bellator and Combate Americas. The 27-year-old knocked out Richard LeRoy in his last bout. 

Rodriguez (11-1) also is a former Combate Americas fighter who had a 5-1 record with the promotion. He made an impressive UFC debut with a knockout of veteran Tim Means in February. Ten of his 11 victories have come by stoppage. 

“Green is taking this fight up a division on less than a week’s notice,” Marley told SportsLine. “I see Rodriguez being too big and powerful for him and picking him apart on the feet until he finishes with strikes.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Woodley picks 

Marley also has strong picks for Burns vs. Woodley and every other bout on the May 30 Fight Night card. He’s also backing one fighter because of their “standout ground game.” You can see those selections at SportsLine. 

Who wins Burns vs. Woodley? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight on the UFC Fight Night card on May 30, all from the accomplished expert who’s up almost $20,000 on MMA bets, and find out.

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns odds

Tyron Woodley (-180) vs. Gilbert Burns (+155)
Augusto Sakai (-110) vs. Blagoy Ivanov (-110)
Mackenzie Dern (-410) vs. Hannah Cifers (+320)

Roosevelt Roberts (-310) vs. Brok Weaver (+250)

Katlyn Chookagian (+115) vs. Antonina Shevchenko (-135)

Billy Quarantillo (-135) vs. Spike Carlyle (+115)

Jamahal Hill (-125) vs. Klidson Abreu (+105)

Tim Elliott (-175) vs. Brandon Royval (+150)

Louis Smoka (+210) vs. Casey Kenney (-260)

Chris Gutierrez (-110) vs. Vince Morales (-110)

Daniel Rodriguez (-330) vs. Gabriel Green (+260)

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