2020 MLB divisional odds, NL West predictions, best bets: Proven computer model fading Padres

Although the 2020 Major League Baseball season does not have a definite start date, MLB officials have been optimistic that they will play a 140-game season. And the coronavirus pandemic hasn’t stopped sportsbooks from listing 2020 MLB odds on who wins each division. In the NL West, the Dodgers are overwhelming -1300 favorites (risk $1300 to win $100), with the Diamondbacks and Padres at +900 and +1100, respectively. Meanwhile, the Rockies and Giants are both listed as serious long shots at +20000 in the latest 2020 NL West odds.

It isn’t a surprise that the Dodgers could run away with the title, as 2019 NL MVP Cody Bellinger teams up with superstar Mookie Betts in the outfield, and Clayton Kershaw anchors a pitching rotation that includes Walker Buehler and David Price. But can Ketel Marte and the Diamondbacks or Eric Hosmer and the Padres make a run? Before you make your 2020 MLB divisional picks, be sure to check out the 2020 NL West predictions and best bets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw huge returns. The model went 370-291 on its top-rated money line and run-line picks, returning more than $1,400 to $100 bettors.

Moreover, the model went a stunning 14-5 on its strongest MLB win total picks and went 4-1 on its five best MLB over-under bets. Now, the model has crunched the numbers on the upcoming season and released its MLB picks to win the NL West in 2020. You can only see them at SportsLine.

The model’s top 2020 NL West picks

The model says the San Diego Padres are dramatically overvalued at +1,100 in the latest 2020 NL West odds and win the division in just 0.1 percent of simulations. Hunter Renfroe and his 33 home runs are gone to Tampa Bay, leaving Eric Hosmer and Manny Machado to prop up an offense that was dead last in the National League with a .238 combined batting average. 

Machado has been a relative failure in San Diego, as he has hit five fewer home runs and drove in 22 fewer runs in the first year of a $300 million deal than he did as a combined Oriole and Dodger in 2018. While Machado’s 32 homers and 85 RBIs weren’t awful, he also struck out a career-worst 128 times and contributed a 3.1 WAR as the Padres struggled to a 70-92 record. 

While young players like Franmil Reyes and Fernando Tatis Jr. displayed flashes of talent in 2019, and offseason moves were made to help the piecemeal pitching rotation, there are still far too many questions than answers in San Diego. Making a 30-win jump with largely the same cast of players is unlikely, and that’s why SportsLine’s model doesn’t give the Padres much of a chance to contend in 2020, even at +1,100.

How to make MLB divisional picks on 2020 NL West odds

The model also says one NL West team has a win probability that dramatically exceeds its implied odds. You can only see who it is, and the odds every team wins the division, right here.

Which team is the best value in 2020 NL West futures? And how often does every team win the division? Visit SportsLine now to see projected win totals, divisional odds, and playoff odds for every team in the NL West, all from an uncanny computer model that crushed its MLB picks.

2020 NL West odds

Dodgers -1,300
Diamondbacks +900
Padres +1,100
Rockies +20,000
Giants +20,000

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