2020 NFL divisional odds, AFC North predictions, best bets: Advanced model fading Browns

The Baltimore Ravens turned on the afterburners following a mediocre start last season and cruised to their second consecutive AFC North title. Quarterback Lamar Jackson led the charge, throwing an NFL-high 36 touchdown passes while topping the team in rushing with 1,206 yards. Baltimore will try to win a third straight division crown for the first time in franchise history this season, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are hoping the return of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will help them get back on top after finishing first three of the previous four years.

The latest 2020 NFL odds list the Ravens as -180 favorites to win the division, while the Steelers are at +275 in the latest 2020 AFC North odds from William Hill. Before making any 2020 NFL picks on who wins the AFC North, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has crushed human experts on a consistent basis. Since its 2015 inception, the model is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks.

And when it comes to NFL win totals, the model is coming off another banner year. In 2019, it went 18-11 on its over-under picks, with three pushes.

Now, the model has taken aim at the NFL futures for who wins the AFC North and revealed its NFL divisional predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks.  

The model’s top 2020 AFC North predictions

The model says the Cleveland Browns are overvalued at +500 in the latest 2020 NFL odds to capture the AFC North title and win the division in just 4.8 percent of simulations.

There was plenty of optimism in Cleveland when the 2019 season began, and an impressive victory in Week 4 at Baltimore, the last game the Ravens would lose until the playoffs, increased that feeling. But the Browns went on to drop their next four contests, all but ending their hopes for a division title as Baltimore ran away from the pack. 

Quarterback Baker Mayfield had several dreadful performances during that slide, throwing only three touchdown passes and six interceptions while being sacked 11 times. The second-year quarterback finished the campaign with 22 scoring tosses and 21 picks, which tied Cleveland with Carolina for second-most in the league. In addition, Mayfield never clicked with newcomer Odell Beckham Jr., as the signal-caller’s 55.6 completion percentage and 69.0 passer rating when targeting the star wideout ranked last among 30 quarterback-receiver duos with at least 100 targets.

Beckham appeared in all 16 games for the Browns, but was hampered by a sports hernia that required surgery in January. Jarvis Landry led Cleveland with a career-high 1,174 receiving yards and the team signed tight end Austin Hooper to give Mayfield another weapon. Cleveland also lost one of its top defensive players, linebacker Joe Schobert, who signed with Jacksonville after finishing 10th in the league with 133 tackles last season.

How to make 2020 AFC North picks

Instead, the model also says one AFC North team boasts a win probability that exceeds its implied odds. You can only see who it is, and the percent of the time each team wins the AFC North, over at SportsLine.

Which team is the best value in the AFC North 2020 odds? And how often does every team win the division? Visit SportsLine right now to see projected win totals, divisional odds and playoff odds for every team in the AFC North, all from an uncanny model that crushed its NFL picks, and find out. 

2020 AFC North title odds (via William Hill)

Ravens -180
Steelers +275
Browns +500
Bengals +3000

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