2021 3M Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions from proven model that’s nailed seven majors


Collin Morikawa’s Open Championship victory made him just the sixth golfer to post multiple wins in the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. It has been a season marked by parity and only one of those six golfers will have a chance to become the first three-time winner at the 2021 3M Open. Stewart Cink is the only multi-winner as part of the 3M Open 2021 field, as Cink has more wins this season than he had over the previous dozen years combined. The 2009 British Open champion is one of a handful of major champions in the field as play begins on Thursday, July 22.

TPC Twin Cities, located in a Minneapolis suburb, will host the 2021 3M Open as the PGA Tour begins its stretch run to the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Dustin Johnson is the 7-1 favorite on the 2021 3M Open odds board at William Hill Sportsbook, while both Tony Finau and Louis Oosthuizen come in at 14-1. Cink, meanwhile, is a 50-1 long shot to get his third victory of the season according to the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2021 3M Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it’s up over $10,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure’s best bets netted over $2,200 at the 2021 Open Championship.

In addition, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing.  

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 3M Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 3M Open leaderboard and 3M Open 2021 expert picks.

The model’s top 2021 3M Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2021 3M Open: Reed, a nine-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, struggles and barely cracks the top five. Reed remains one of the best putters on tour, ranking inside the top-10 in strokes gained: putting (.674), overall putting average (1.554), total putting (84.8) and one-putt percentage (44.28). 

However, the former Masters champion is hitting fewer than 63 percent of greens in regulation this season, which ranks 169th on tour. His inability to find the green in regulation has resulted in Reed finishing T-25 or worse in each of his last three starts. He’s also missed the cut in three of his last nine events. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 3M Open 2021 field.

Another surprise: Sergio Garcia, a 28-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the 2021 3M Open title. The veteran should enter the tournament with plenty of confidence after shooting a 66 in the final round of the Open Championship and posting a top-20 finish. It was Garcia’s third straight top-20 finish as he’s seemed to rediscover his groove after missing the cut in his previous four tournaments.

Garcia has shown great balance this season both off the tee and when approaching the green. He’s the only player on tour who ranks in the top 16 in both driving distance (308.6) and greens in regulation percentage (69.54). As has been the case for most of his career, Garcia has been extremely aggressive in going for the green as his 75.25 percentage ranks second. That has allowed him to sink 217 birdies and breaking par will be paramount at the 2021 3M Open as the winning score of the tournament averages to 20-under-par.

How to make 2021 3M Open picks

The model is targeting five other golfers with 2021 3M Open odds of 28-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the 3M Open 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 3M Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed seven golf majors and is up over $10,500 since the restart.

2021 3M Open odds

Dustin Johnson 7-1
Tony Finau 14-1
Louis Oosthuizen 14-1
Patrick Reed 18-1
Robert Macintyre 28-1
Sergio Garcia 28-1
Cameron Tringale 28-1
Bubba Watson 30-1
Matthew Wolff 33-1
Emiliano Grillo 35-1
Cameron Davis 40-1
Maverick McNealy 40-1
Rickie Fowler 40-1
Keegan Bradley 40-1
Lucas Herbert 40-1
Hank Lebioda 40-1
Gary Woodland 50-1
Stewart Cink 50-1
Charl Schwartzel 50-1
Luke List 50-1
Dylan Frittelli 50-1
Patton Kizzire 50-1
Ryan Moore 55-1
J.T. Poston 60-1
Lanto Griffin 60-1
Brandt Snedeker 60-1
Doug Ghim 60-1
Patrick Rodgers 60-1
Jhonattan Vegas 66-1
Bo Hoag 66-1
Chris Kirk 66-1
Chez Reavie 66-1
Charles Howell 66-1
Brendon Todd 66-1
Richy Werenski 66-1
Kyle Stanley 70-1
Troy Merritt 80-1
Adam Hadwin 80-1
Mito Pereira 80-1
Adam Schenk 80-1
Michael Thompson 80-1
Joel Dahmen 80-1
Tom Lewis 90-1
Erik Van Rooyen 90-1
Steve Stricker 90-1
Matt Kuchar 90-1
Pat Perez 100-1
Sam Ryder 100-1
Brian Stuard 100-1
Mark Hubbard 100-1
Brandon Hagy 100-1
Beau Hossler 100-1
Ryan Armour 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Cameron Percy 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Cameron Champ 125-1
Matthew NeSmith 125-1
Sepp Straka 125-1
Adam Long 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Kevin Tway 150-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Brandon Stone 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Roger Sloan 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Wyndham Clark 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1
Satoshi Kodaira 175-1
Keith Mitchell 175-1
Robert Streb 175-1
Jason Dufner 175-1
Will Gordon 200-1
Scott Brown 200-1
Vincent Whaley 200-1
Vaughn Taylor 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
John Huh 200-1
Camilo Villegas 200-1
Austin Eckroat 200-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1
Chesson Hadley 200-1
Andrew Putnam 250-1
Tyler Duncan 250-1
Michael Gligic 250-1
Ben Martin 250-1
Sean O’Hair 250-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Peter Malnati 250-1
Bronson Burgoon 250-1
M.J. Daffue 250-1
Chase Seiffert 250-1
Josh Teater 250-1
Jimmy Walker 300-1
Robby Shelton 300-1
Mark Anderson 300-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300-1
Nick Watney 300-1
Wes Roach 300-1
J.J. Spaun 300-1
David Hearn 300-1
Aaron Baddeley 300-1
Quade Cummins 300-1
Rob Oppenheim 300-1
David Lingmerth 300-1
Bo Van Pelt 300-1
Fabian Gomez 300-1
Austin Cook 300-1
Ryan Hall 350-1
Andrew Landry 350-1
Johnson Wagner 400-1
Rafael Campos 400-1
John Pak 400-1
Ted Potter 400-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 400-1
Scott Harrington 400-1
Michael Gellerman 400-1
Rhein Gibson 400-1
Shawn Stefani 400-1
Luke Donald 400-1
Bill Haas 400-1
Greg Chalmers 400-1
Brent Snyder 500-1
Ben Taylor 500-1
Sangmoon Bae 500-1
Hunter Mahan 500-1
Ben Crane 500-1
Brian Gay 500-1
Michael Kim 500-1
D.J. Trahan 500-1
John Senden 500-1
Sebastian Cappelen 500-1
Angus Flanagan 500-1
Zack Sucher 500-1
D.A. Points 500-1
Grayson Murray 500-1
Chris Baker 500-1
Nelson Ledesma 500-1
Ryan Blaum 500-1
Jonathan Byrd 500-1
Kris Ventura 500-1
Ricky Barnes 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
Tyler McCumber 500-1
Dominic Bozzelli 500-1
Martin Trainer 750-1
Matt Every 750-1
Kevin Stadler 750-1





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