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2021 AAC Championship Game odds, spread, line: Cincinnati vs. Houston picks, predictions from proven model

No. 21 Houston (11-1) and No. 4 Cincinnati (12-0) will battle it out in the 2021 American Athletic Conference Championship Game on Saturday afternoon. Both teams have been outstanding during the 2021 campaign. The Cougars lost their season opener but then rattled off an 11-game win streak. The Bearcats have won 12 straight games and are currently inside the top four in the College Football Playoff rankings. 

Kickoff from Nippert Stadium is set for 4 p.m. ET. The Bearcats are favored by 10.5 points in the latest Houston vs. Cincinnati odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points is set at 53. Before making any Houston vs. Cincinnati picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Championship Week 2021 on a 42-28 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Houston vs. Cincinnati and just locked in its AAC Championship Game prediction and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Cincinnati vs. Houston:

  • Houston vs. Cincinnati spread: Cincinnati -10.5 
  • Houston vs. Cincinnati over-under: 53 points 
  • Houston vs. Cincinnati money line: Houston +330, Cincinnati -430 
  • CINN: Bearcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record 
  • HOU: Cougars are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog

Featured Game | Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars

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Why Cincinnati can cover

The Bearcats have one of the top offenses in the conference. They are first in points per game (39.6) and fifth in total yards per game (431.8). Cincinnati has scored over 40 points in six games this season. In back-to-back weeks against USF and SMU, Cincinnati put up monster numbers. The Bearcats scored over 40 points and gained more than 500 yards of total offense. 

Against USF, the Bearcats walked away with a 45-28 victory. They finished with 506 yards and 6.7 yards per play. Senior quarterback Desmond Ridder went 31-of-39 for 304 yards and two passing touchdowns. Ridder also rushed for 75 yards and another score on the ground. The following week, Cincinnati blew out SMU 48-14. The Bearcats finished with 544 total yards of offense. 

Why Houston can cover

The Cougars are third in the conference in scoring (35.5) and sixth in total yards per game (422). Junior quarterback Clayton Tune leads the group. Tune has completed 69 percent of his passes for 3,013 yards with 26 passing touchdowns. The Texas native struggled in the season opener against Texas Tech and threw four interceptions in the loss. Since then Tune has only tossed four interceptions. His best outing this season came against SMU. Tune went 27-of-37 for 412 yards and four passing touchdowns. 

Freshman running back Alton McCaskill has 162 carries for 844 yards with a conference-high 16 rushing touchdowns. McCaskill rushed for over 100 yards with at least two scores in three games this year. Sophomore receiver Nathaniel Dell is the leading pass-catcher for the Cougars. Dell is second in the conference in receiving yards (1,027) and tied for first in touchdowns (11). The Florida native has gone over 100 receiving yards in four matchups this year. This trio for Houston hopes to have a successful outing against a stingy Cincinnati defense. 

How to make Houston vs. Cincinnati picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 55 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Cincinnati vs. Houston pick at SportsLine

So who wins Houston vs. Cincinnati? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cincinnati vs. Houston spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.

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