2021 Coca-Cola 600 odds: Surprising NASCAR at Charlotte picks, predictions from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series will offer its ultimate endurance test on Sunday at Charlotte Motor Speedway when the green flag drops on the 2021 Coca-Cola 600. The race has been run since 1960 and 400 laps around the 1.5-mile quad oval makes it the longest race on the NASCAR schedule. Martin Truex Jr. and Kevin Harvick both have multiple Coca-Cola 600 wins, but they’ll be the only two drivers in the NASCAR at Charlotte field on Sunday to hold that distinction.

The race begins at 6 p.m. ET and will finish in exciting fashion under the lights. Truex is an 11-2 co-favorite with Kyle Larson in the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Meanwhile, Harvick is listed at 17-2 in the NASCAR at Charlotte odds with other contenders including Chase Elliott (6-1), Denny Hamlin (6-1) and Kyle Busch (13-2). Before scouring the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 starting lineup and making any NASCAR at Charlotte predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Coca-Cola 600 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick’s fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

During the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in six of the last 11 races. Last month, it had Martin Truex Jr. at the top of its projected leaderboard at Martinsville, nailing his victory for a 3-1 payout. Two weeks ago, the model was high on eventual winner Alex Bowman at Dover. Anybody who has followed the McClure’s model on those picks is way up.

Now, the model simulated the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Charlotte leaderboard.

Top 2021 Coca-Cola 600 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 10-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Charlotte odds 2021. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2018 NASCAR Cup Series champion won his 27th Cup race earlier this season at the Food City Dirt Race and he’s currently fourth in the standings with seven other top-10 finishes in 2021.

Logano has a win at Charlotte Motor Speedway in the 2015 Bank of America 500 and he’s had three career top-five finishes in the Coca-Cola 600. He’s led in three of his last four starts in Charlotte and he’s a good bet to work the No. 22 Ford from Team Penske toward the front again on Sunday.

And a massive shocker: Hamlin, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Coca-Cola 600 starting lineup. The 17-year NASCAR Cup Series veteran has 44 wins on the top circuit, including 13 in the last two seasons.

However, he’s never been to victory lane at Charlotte Motor Speedway in 29 career starts there and last season he finished seven laps down in 29th at the 2020 Coca-Cola 600. Hamlin leads the NASCAR Cup Series standings so far in 2021, but he hasn’t recorded a victory yet this year and the price is simply too steep to justify including Hamlin in 2021 Coca-Cola 600 bets. 

How to make 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte picks

The model is also targeting another driver with 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Coca-Cola 600 2021? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Charlotte odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Coca-Cola 600 leaderboard, all from the model that called at least seven of the top 10 drivers in six of the last 11 races and nailed Martin Truex Jr.’s win at Martinsville

2021 Coca-Cola 600 odds 

Kyle Larson 11-2
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Chase Elliott 6-1
Denny Hamlin 6-1
Kyle Busch 13-2
Brad Keselowski 15-2
Kevin Harvick 17-2
Ryan Blaney 9-1
Joey Logano 10-1
William Byron 15-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
Christopher Bell 30-1
Tyler Reddick 40-1
Kurt Busch 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Matt DiBenedetto 75-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Daniel Suarez 150-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1
Ryan Newman 150-1
Chris Buescher 150-1
Cole Custer 200-1
Erik Jones 250-1
Bubba Wallace 250-1
Ross Chastain 250-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Chase Briscoe 500-1
Ryan Preece 750-1
David Starr 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
Corey Lajoie 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Anthony Alfredo 5000-1

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