2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that nailed six golf majors


The 2021 Farmers Insurance Open will provide golf fans with some star-studded groupings through the first two days of action. Jon Rahm, the No. 2 ranked player in the world, will play alongside Jason Day and defending champion Marc Leishman when play gets underway on Thursday, Jan. 28, from Torrey Pines Golf Course. Rahm won this event in 2017 and earned a runner-up finish in 2020. Meanwhile, Brooks Koepka, a four-time major champion, will be paired with Matthew Wolff and Rory McIlroy, who finished T-3 at this event last year.

Elsewhere in the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open field, Phil Mickelson, a two-time winner of this event, will play alongside Xander Schauffele and Jordan Spieth. Rahm enters this week’s event as the 7-1 favorite according to the latest 2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds from William Hill Sportsbook. With such a strong 2021 Farmers Insurance Open field, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s advanced computer model before locking in your 2021 Farmers Insurance Open picks

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $10,800 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

In the final standard PGA event of 2020, McClure nailed Viktor Hovland’s win at +2500 in his best bets. That was one of many huge calls he made last year. After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets. The model had him in the top-five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Garcia winning outright. Those who followed that advice saw a massive +5500 return. 

He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. McClure hit a top-five bet (+1200) on Doc Redman at the Wyndham Championship, finishing up over $700 on his best bets. Those are just some of his recent big returns. 

In all, the advanced computer model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2021 Farmers Insurance Open predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Farmers Insurance Open 2021: Patrick Reed, an eight-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top Vegas favorites at William Hill, fails to crack the top 10. Reed has finished T-14 or better in three of his last five starts, which includes a top-10 finish at the Masters in November. However, Reed has failed to crack the top-20 in each of his last two outings and he missed the cut last week at The American Express. 

Reed’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the green in regulation. The 30-year-old enters this week’s event ranked 185th in greens in regulation percentage (65.12), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Farmers Insurance Open 2021 field.

Another surprise: Matthew Wolff, a massive 33-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s one of the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open picks you should be all over. 

In order to score well at Torrey Pines, players need to hit their irons well and few do it better than Wolff. In fact, the 21-year-old enters this week’s event ranked seventh in strokes gained: approach the green (1.061). Once he’s on the green, Wolff has the uncanny ability to make putts. He ranks 20th on tour in total putting (153.8) and 22nd in putting average (1.696). SportsLine’s model projects Wolff’s short game will allow him to be in the mix at the Farmers Insurance Open, making him one of the top value picks that should be all over your radar at Torrey Pines. 

How to make 2021 Farmers Insurance Open picks

Also, the model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 28-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the Farmers Insurance Open 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Farmers Insurance Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up over $10,800 since the restart, and find out. 

2021 Farmers Insurance Open odds (via William Hill)

Jon Rahm 7-1
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Tony Finau 20-1
Patrick Reed 25-1
Harris English 25-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1
Sungjae Im 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
Scottie Scheffler 33-1
Matthew Wolff 33-1
Brooks Koepka 33-1
Marc Leishman 33-1
Jason Day 35-1
Si-Woo Kim 35-1
Bubba Watson 40-1
Will Zalatoris 45-1
Adam Scott 45-1
Cameron Davis 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1
Ryan Palmer 50-1
Cameron Smith 50-1
Jason Kokrak 55-1
Billy Horschel 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Cameron Champ 60-1
Jordan Spieth 66-1
Sam Burns 66-1
Rickie Fowler 66-1
Gary Woodland 66-1
Francesco Molinari 70-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Doug Ghim 100-1
Lanto Griffin 100-1
Charles Howell 100-1
Erik Van Rooyen 100-1
Byeong Hun An 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Alex Noren 100-1
Charley Hoffman 100-1





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