2021 NBA Playoffs: Blazers vs. Nuggets odds, line, picks, Game 1 predictions from model on 99-66 roll


The Denver Nuggets and the Portland Trail Blazers are set to square off in a Western Conference first-round matchup at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 47-25 overall and 25-11 at home, while Portland is 42-30 overall and 22-14 on the road. Denver is the third seed in the West, while Portland is the No. 6 seed. These teams had a classic seven-game series when they met in the 2019 Western Conference semifinals in which Portland prevailed.

This year, these familiar foes met three times in the regular season with the Nuggets winning at home, and then the teams split two matchups in Portland. Denver enters Saturday’s showdown favored by one-point in the latest Nuggets vs. Blazers odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 227. Before entering any Blazers vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Blazers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Blazers vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers spread: Nuggets -1
  • Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers over-under: 227 points
  • Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers money line: Denver -115, Portland -105
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 3-5 against the spread in the last eight games
  • POR: The Blazers are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 games

Featured Game | Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Why the Nuggets can cover

The Nuggets have a balanced offensive attack that ranked eighth in the NBA in points per game (115.1). They have six players averaging double-figures, led by Nikola Jokic’s 21.2 points per game. The MVP frontrunner also contributed 10.8 rebounds, 8.3 assists and posted 16 triple-doubles. He’s taken on more scoring opportunities since Jamal Murray (knee) was lost for the season.

Outside of Jokic, Denver has witnessed the emergence of Michael Porter Jr. into a scoring threat. He’s doubled his points per game to 19.0 and also knocks down 44.5 percent of his 3-point attempts, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Denver has further been bolstered by late-season additions of Aaron Gordon and Austin Rivers. They’ve helped fill the voids created by Murray’s injury as well as recent injuries to Will Barton (hamstring) and Monte Morris (hamstring).

Why the Trail Blazers can cover

Portland is hoping for another victory in Game 1 as it strolled past Denver with points to spare on Sunday, taking the game 132-116. Portland’s success was the result of a balanced attack that saw several players step up, but center Jusuf Nurkic led the charge as he dropped a double-double with 20 points and 13 boards. It was the Blazers’ 10th win in their last 12 games, so they’ll enter the playoffs as hot as any team in the league.

The Blazers are, once again, led by perennial All-NBA guard Damian Lillard. He averaged 28.8 points, 7.5 assists and 4.2 rebounds per game, while ranking third in the league with 275 made 3-pointers. He led Portland’s offense, which ranked fifth in the NBA with 116.1 points per game. Lillard’s backcourt mate, CJ McCollum, has battled injuries this year but averaged a career-high of 23.1 points, while the recently acquired Norman Powell chipped in with 17.0 points per contest.

How to make Nuggets vs. Blazers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Blazers vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.





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