2021 NBA Playoffs: Blazers vs. Nuggets odds, line, picks, Game 2 predictions from model on 99-66 roll

The Portland Trail Blazers look to open a 2-0 series lead over the host Denver Nuggets when they meet in a Western Conference first-round series in the 2021 NBA Playoffs on Monday. The Trail Blazers (42-30), the sixth seed, defeated the Nuggets 123-109 on Saturday. It was the second win in a row over Denver, which they also beat in the regular-season finale, 132-116, on May 16. The Nuggets (47-25), the third seed, have won nine of their past 14 games.

Tip-off from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 10 p.m. ET. Portland leads the all-time series 110-95, including a 10-8 edge in postseason games. Denver is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Blazers vs. Nuggets odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 227. Before making any Nuggets vs. Blazers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2020-21 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 99-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Blazers in the NBA Playoffs 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Blazers vs. Nuggets:

  • Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets spread: Nuggets -1.5
  • Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets over-under: 227 points
  • Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets money line: Trail Blazers +100, Nuggets -120
  • POR: The Trail Blazers are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Monday games

Featured Game | Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Why the Nuggets can cover

Denver will look to rebound behind star center Nikola Jokic, who scored 34 points in the Game 1 loss. Jokic has scored 30 or more points in three of the last five games and in six of 10. In 72 starts during the regular season, he averaged 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game. He is first in franchise history with 57 triple doubles, including 16 this season.

Also powering the Nuggets is small forward Michael Porter Jr., who poured in 25 points and grabbed nine rebounds on Saturday. For the season, Porter averaged 19 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. In three starts against Portland, he averaged 12.7 points and six rebounds. He has had a number of high-scoring games this season, with a career-high 39 points on 13 of 21 shooting, including 8 of 12 3-pointers, in 36 minutes against Houston on April 24. 

Why the Blazers can cover

Despite that, Denver isn’t a lock to cover the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets spread. That’s because Portland has been red hot, winning 10 of 12 games to close out the regular season. Point guard Damian Lillard has been on a roll of late. He scored 34 points in Game 1 on Saturday and had 41 at Phoenix on May 13. For the season, Lillard is averaging 28.8 points, 7.5 assists and 4.2 rebounds, including 23 points and 9.3 assists in three games vs. Denver this year.

Also giving the Trail Blazers a boost is shooting guard CJ McCollum. McCollum has scored 20 or more points in each of the last seven games, including 21 on Saturday. In two regular-season games against Denver, he averaged 19 points, 5.5 rebounds and five assists. In the 2019 Western Conference semifinals against the Nuggets, he averaged 26.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting, including 37.5 percent from 3-point range.

How to make Nuggets vs. Blazers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Blazers vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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