2021 UEFA Champions League final odds, picks: Soccer expert reveals best bets for Manchester City vs. Chelsea

Manchester City will be hungry to secure its first European title when it faces fellow English Premier League power Chelsea on Saturday in the final of the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League. City cruised to the league title this season, finishing 12 points ahead of Manchester United and 19 clear of fourth-place Chelsea, clinching with two weeks left. Chelsea has won the last two meetings between the teams. City, which is playing in its first UCL final, won 3-1 in its first league meeting this season. The Blues won the European title in 2012 and lost to Man U in 2008, with both final matches going to penalty kicks.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET at Estadio do Dragao in Porto, Portugal and can be seen on CBS and streamed on Paramount+. Manchester City is the 0.5-goal and -114 favorite (risk $114 to win $100) in the latest Chelsea vs. Manchester City odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and Chelsea is the +360 underdog. Before locking in any Manchester City vs. Chelsea picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, he has set his sights on Chelsea vs. Manchester City. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several odds and trends for Manchester City vs. Chelsea:

  • Manchester City vs. Chelsea spread: Man City -0.5
  • Manchester City over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Manchester City vs. Chelsea money line: Man City -114, Chelsea +360, Draw +235
  • CITY: Phil Foden is tied for the tournament lead with 17 shots on target
  • CHE: Edouard Mendy has a 90.6 save percentage in the 12 UCL matches

Why you should back Manchester City

Manager Pep Guardiola will have Man City ready for its first final, and he has plenty of talent to work with. City beat 2020 runner-up Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 on aggregate in the semifinal and has allowed just four goals in this tournament. It was coming off UCL matches the past two times it faced the Blues, so it went with a more conservative lineup. It eased past them in the January meeting with its preferred starting 11 with Kevin De Bruyne up top. De Bruyne, top scorer Ilkay Gundogan and Phil Foden all scored in the first half of that match.

Gundogan has led an offense that has scored 25 goals in its 12 UCL matches and had a plus-51 goal differential in league play. The German midfielder has 17 goals in all competitions this season, while Foden has scored 16. Riyad Mahrez and Ferran Torres lead the team with four goals apiece in the tournament and are two of the six players with at least 13 goals across all competitions. De Bruyne is the engine of the offense and has 10 goals and 18 assists. Goalkeeper Ederson has allowed 0.70 goals and saved 75.5 percent of shots faced in 46 starts overall, while defenders Ruben Dias and John Stones are a formidable duo in front of him.        

Why you should back Chelsea 

The Blues have experience in the world spotlight and have won six European trophies since 1971, including the 2012 UCL title over Bayern Munich. They beat La Liga champion Atletico Madrid, runner-up Real Madrid and FC Porto to get here and face a City team that could be tentative in its first UCL final. The Chelsea defense has been tough to beat, posting 18 clean sheets in 38 league games and eight in 12 matches in this tournament. Goalkeeper Eduardo Mendy has a 76.1 save percentage and 0.68 goals-against average in 43 games overall.

Chelsea is 18-6-5 in 29 matches since Thomas Tuchel took over as manager in late January, and while defense has been the catalyst, it has plenty of quality attackers. Timo Werner is always a headache for opponents, and he has 12 goals and 12 assists in all competitions. Mason Mount (nine goals, seven assists) and Ben Chilwell (seven assists) create a lot of chances. Olivier Giroud leads the team with six Champions League goals and has teamed with Tammy Abraham for 23 combined goals, with both typically coming in off the bench. 

How to make Champions League picks for Chelsea vs. Manchester City

Green is leaning over on the total and has also locked in a strong money-line pick and a prop that returns plus-money. You can only get those picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chelsea vs. Manchester City? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side to back, all from the European soccer expert who’s up almost $19k

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