Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Miami vs. Michigan State odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 3 predictions from model on 67-50 run

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes entered the 2021 season as the No. 14 team in the nation but have been slipping ever since. Miami fell to No. 22 after being trounced by top-ranked Alabama in its opener and dropped two more spots after eking out a 25-23 victory over Appalachian State at home last weekend. The Hurricanes hope to maintain a spot in the Top 25 when they host the Michigan State Spartans on Saturday. Michigan State (2-0) is coming off a 42-14 home triumph over Youngstown State last Saturday in which it racked up nearly 600 yards in total offense (595).

Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is set for noon ET. The Hurricanes are six-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Michigan State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56.5. Before locking in any Michigan State vs. Miami picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on a 67-50 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Michigan State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting trends for Michigan State vs. Miami:

  • Miami vs. Michigan State spread: Hurricanes -6
  • Miami vs. Michigan State over-under: 56.5 points
  • Miami vs. Michigan State money line: Hurricanes -240, Spartans +200
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games
  • MSU: The Spartans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 contests as underdogs

Featured Game | Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Michigan State Spartans

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Why Miami can cover

The Hurricanes have yet to lose against Michigan State and are looking to join Notre Dame (8-0) and Nebraska (7-0) as the only teams to win each of their first five meetings with the Spartans. Miami won three straight home games in the series before posting a 26-20 victory at Michigan State in their most recent matchup on Sept. 30, 1989. The Hurricanes have done well at home overall with head coach Manny Diaz on the staff, going 25-6 since he joined the program as defensive coordinator in 2016.

Cam’Ron Harris carried 18 times for 91 yards and a touchdown in last Saturday’s win over Appalachian State, marking the fifth time in 32 games with the Hurricanes he eclipsed the 90-yard mark. The redshirt junior is looking to reach triple digits for the first time since opening the 2020 season with back-to-back 134-yard performances. Harris will carry most of the load against the Spartans as backup Donald Chaney Jr. suffered a season-ending knee injury in last week’s victory.

Why Michigan State can cover

The Spartans’ offense has been on fire thus far this season, scoring at least 38 points in each of its first two games for the first time since 2015. The total of 80 points in those contests is Michigan State’s most in the initial two games of a campaign since it amassed 83 in 2007. The club registered 595 yards of total offense against Youngstown State and is averaging 299 on the ground, the second-best mark in the Big Ten Conference.

Payton Thorne completed 15-of-21 pass attempts for 280 yards and a career-high four touchdowns last Saturday while also running for a score. The sophomore quarterback, who has five scoring tosses and no interceptions in his first two contests, connected with 12 different receivers but did his best work with Jayden Reed. A redshirt junior, Reed hauled in four passes – two for TDs – for a career-high 181 yards, giving him an average of 27.2 yards per catch this year.

How to make Michigan State vs. Miami picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting teams to combine for 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Miami vs. Michigan State? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.

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