Monday, October 2, 2023

Yankees vs. Twins odds, line, best bets: 2021 MLB picks, Sept. 13 predictions from proven computer model

The Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees will square off on the diamond in the Bronx on Monday afternoon. Minnesota will look to bounce back from a Sunday afternoon loss to the Kansas City Royals at home. However, the Twins have an interesting challenge in that they fly to New York for a single game. The Yankees and Twins had a game rained out in late August, and New York will face a quick turnaround after a game against the New York Mets on Sunday evening.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Yankees as -190 money line favorites (risk $190 to win $100) for this 2:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 10 in the latest Twins vs. Yankees odds. Before making any Yankees vs. Twins picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is 179-150 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 23 weeks in the 2021 season, returning almost $500. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Twins vs. Yankees and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting trends for Yankees vs. Twins:

  • Twins vs. Yankees money line: Yankees -190, Twins +170
  • Twins vs. Yankees over-under: 10 runs 
  • Twins vs. Yankees run line: Yankees -1.5 
  • MIN: The Twins are 30-42 in road games in 2021 
  • NYY: The Yankees are 40-31 at home this season

Featured Game | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

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Why you should back the Twins

Minnesota can have confidence in its starting pitching on Monday. John Gant isn’t necessarily a household name, but the veteran right-hander has a 3.78 ERA this season while operating in different roles. Gant has been even better away from Minnesota, boasting a 3.41 ERA across 63.1 innings in road games this season. New York does have power in its lineup, but the Yankees are below-average in the American League in batting average, hits and doubles, with a surprising lack of consistency when it comes to run-scoring. 

The Twins have tremendous power, hitting 201 home runs to rank No. 2 in the American League, and Minnesota has nearly a nine percent walk rate for the season. Minnesota has eight hitters with at least 12 home runs this season, and the Twins can make life difficult on New York’s pitching staff in a unique Monday afternoon setting.

Why you should back the Yankees

New York technically played on the road on Sunday, but the Yankees faced the Mets and didn’t have far to travel. That should mitigate any effects from playing a night game before a day game, and the Yankees are 5-1 against the Twins this season. New York will send Luis Gil to the mound, and the 23-year-old has been stellar this season, including a 1.42 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 19 innings. 

Offensively, New York has been up and down this season, but the Yankees lead the American League with a walk rate north of 10 percent, and that provides some stability. Minnesota’s relief pitching is a weakness, as the Twins rank just 24th in MLB in fWAR for relievers, and their bullpen owns a 4.48 ERA for the season. Offensively, the Twins rarely steal bases and, despite their tremendous power, Minnesota ranks well below the American League baseline with a .241 batting average in 2021.

How to make Twins vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the run total, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Twins vs. Yankees? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Twins vs. Yankees you need to jump on Monday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.  

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