The Seattle Seahawks and Washington Football Team will wrap up Week 12 in the NFL when they go head-to-head during Monday Night Football from FedEx Field. Both of these teams are coming into this matchup under .500 on the year, but Washington has been able to win two straight with the latest victory coming against the Carolina Panthers in Week 11. As for Seattle, they’ve lost two straight coming into Monday night, including a 10-point loss to the Kyler Murray-less Cardinals last week.
Below, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this primetime matchup has in store for us. We’ll be taking a look at how the lines have moved throughout the week leading into Monday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with a handful of our favorite player props.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
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Latest Odds: Washington Football Team +1.5
Seattle originally opened as a two-point favorite in this matchup, but it didn’t take long for that to fade. In fact, this moved all the way to Washington -1 before settling down to a pick’em.
The pick: Washington. Russell Wilson just hasn’t looked right since coming back from his finger injury and the Seattle offense has managed just 13 points over the last two weeks. At some point, he’ll return to form, but Washington has looked like they’ve flipped a switch since coming out of Week 9 bye with two quality wins against Tampa Bay and at Carolina. Taylor Heinicke has also been playing great over this two-game stretch, completing 77.8% of his passes while averaging 231 yards and two touchdowns per game on a 127.0 passer rating. With Seattle ranking 25th in the NFL in DOVA against the pass, there’s a good chance his success continues.
The total has moved slightly since its opening number of 46. In the middle of last week, it ticked up to 46.5 before rounding up to 47 as of Monday morning.
The pick: Under 47. If Seattle’s offense continues to struggle, it’s hard seeing these teams pushing us Over on this total. Washington has averaged 28 points per game over this winning streak, but if the Seahawks are only able to hang around in the teens, it doesn’t trend too favorably. The Under is also 5-0 in Seattle’s last five road games, while Washington’s total has gone under in four of their last five matchups overall.
Key trend: Under is 9-3 in Washington’s last 12 home games.
Russell Wilson props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Passing yards: 243.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Total interceptions: 0.5 (Over +110, Under -140)
- Longest passing completion: 35.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Total rushing yards: 15.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
I lean towards the Under on Wilson’s passing yards prop of 243.5 (-115). He’s yet to go over that number since he’s returned from injury and even before that was well under this prop in his two games before going down. The only times he’s topped this total goes back to the start of the season between Week 1 through Week 3.
Taylor Heinicke props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Passing yards: 242.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Total interceptions: 0.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
- Passing attempts: 32.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Longest passing completion: 34.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
- Rushing yards: 18.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
Seattle’s secondary is allowing opponents to pass on average for 279.6 yards through the air against them this season, which trends favorably towards the Over on Heinicke’s passing yards prop for Week 12. The Washington quarterback has also gone over this total in six of his nine starts this season.
Player props to consider
Logan Thomas total receiving yards: Over 30.5 (-115). Thomas is expected to come off of IR in time to play tonight for the first time since Week 4. So long as he does actually suit up, he has a favorable matchup against a Seattle defense that just saw Zach Ertz smoke them for 88 yards and two touchdowns last week. Thomas had also gone over this prop in the two full games he’s played this year with Heinicke as the starter.
J.D McKissic total receiving yards: Over 26.5 (-115). Antonio Gibson has come on as of late, which may dig into McKissic’s touches, but he’s still the primary passing down back in this offseason. Even after he recorded just four receiving yards last week, the 26.5 yards for Monday seems too low. McKissic has gone over this number in six of his 10 games played this season, including four straight heading into last week.