Tuesday, May 28, 2024

2021-22 College Bowl Games: Confidence football pool picks, predictions, rankings from proven computer model

The 2021-22 college football bowl schedule is set with 44 games unfolding in the next month. College football bowl confidence pools are extremely popular this time of year. They’re the contests where you pick the straight-up winner in each matchup and then assign a confidence rating to each selection. The most total points wins the pool. The latest college football lines from Caesars Sportsbook show just four games with double-digit spreads, so there will be plenty of tough calls to make. 

Only the College Football Playoff matchup between No. 1 Alabama and No. 4 Cincinnati (+13.5) has a spread of more than 11 points. Should you bank on those favorites to win, or are there some upsets that can wreck your college football bowl confidence picks this year? Before making your college football predictions for bowl season, be sure to see the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now it has simulated each matchup on the 2021-22 college football bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks over at SportsLine

Top college football bowl confidence predictions

One of the top 2021-22 college football bowl confidence picks from the model: No. 25 Texas A&M beats No. 17 Wake Forest in the Gator Bowl at 11 a.m. ET on Dec. 31. The Aggies fell short of some lofty preseason expectations, but they still pieced together a solid 8-4 season with a 4-4 mark in the rugged SEC West. They won five of their last seven games, a run that included a victory over top-ranked Alabama

Wake Forest had an impressive season-long profile that included a 10-3 record and an ACC Atlantic Division title. But the Demon Deacons lost three of their last five games, including 20-plus points setbacks against Clemson and Pittsburgh. Texas A&M’s defense gave up just 15.9 points per game this season, and SportsLine’s model is projecting that it does a great job limiting Wake Forest’s high-powered offense attack. Texas A&M wins in 70.4 percent of simulations, making it the computer’s ninth-most confident pick.

Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: Florida beats UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl on Dec. 23 in Tampa, Fla. It was a frustrating year for the Gators, who finished 6-6 and fired coach Dan Mullen following a four-game losing streak late in the season. They responded, however, under interim head coach Greg Knox by knocking off Florida State to wrap up the regular season. 

Now they’ll try to finish the season on a high note against a UCF squad that finished 8-4 in Gus Malzahn’s first season. The Knights mostly struggled against quality competition, losing to Louisville and getting blown out by SMU and Cincinnati. SportsLine’s model sees this as a double-digit victory for Florida as the Gators win almost 70 percent of the time.

How to make college football bowl confidence picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins every other bowl game. There are four teams that win at least 75 percent of the time, so you need to go big on these matchups, as well as multiple underdogs that win outright. You can get all the model’s picks over at SportsLine

So who wins every college football bowl game? And which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, all from the model that is up almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football spread picks over the past five-plus season, and find out. 

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