Wednesday, July 17, 2024

Vikings vs. Steelers player props, odds, Thursday Night Football picks: Ben Roethlisberger under 256.5 yards

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings would both miss out if the NFL playoffs started today, but both are still within striking range of earning a spot. Now, they’ll meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 14. Najee Harris‘ rookie season hasn’t been picture-perfect, but he’s piled up yardage on sheer volume and scored seven touchdowns already this season because of Pittsburgh’s dependency on him as a three-down back.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Harris at +450 to be the first touchdown scorer in the latest Vikings vs. Steelers NFL prop bets, but can a struggling Pittsburgh offense put him in position to score early? That’s just one of dozens of Thursday Night Football NFL player props available. Before making any NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Steelers vs. Vikings prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 14 of the 2021 season on an incredible 132-94 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 389-310, returning over $3,000.

With Steelers vs. Vikings on Thursday Night Football approaching, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Vikings vs. Steelers

After simulating Steelers vs. Vikings 10,000 times, the model predicts that Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger goes under 256.5 passing yards. Rumors about this being Roethlisberger’s last season in Pittsburgh have picked up and the 39-year-old has shown signs of age in his 18th season.

Roethlisberger is averaging just 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Since the start of 2019, he’s averaged just 6.4. Since leading the NFL in passing yards in 2018, he’s gone over 300 yards just six times in 28 starts and only once in 2021. He’s been under 256.5 passing yards in six of his 11 starts this season and the model is projecting he finishes with just 233 on Thursday Night Football.

SportsLine’s NFL model also says Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson goes under 7.5 total receptions. Jefferson already has 166 catches for 2,609 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns in his first 28 NFL games, but he’s benefitted from more single-coverage than most elite receivers because he’s part of one of the best wide receiver tandems in the NFL with Adam Thielen.

But with Thielen out of the lineup with a high-ankle sprain, Jefferson will receive more attention from the Steelers’ defense and could have a tough time getting loose in a secondary that has only allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more this season. He’s been held to seven catches or fewer over 64 percent of the time (18-of-28) in his NFL career. The model projects he finishes with just six receptions on average in its 10,000 simulations of Thursday Night Football.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Steelers vs. Vikings

In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has another plus-money prop payout you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Vikings vs. Steelers prop bets for Thursday Night Football.

Which Vikings vs. Steelers prop bets should you target on Thursday Night Football? And which plus-money prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Steelers vs. Vikings prop bets, all from the model that’s up almost $7,200 on top-rated NFL picks.

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