Saturday, January 29, 2022

Lakers vs. Suns prediction, odds, line: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 21 best bets from model on 46-23 run

The Phoenix Suns visit Staples Center to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday evening. The Suns are off to a blazing start with a 24-5 record, while the Lakers enter at 16-15 through 31 games. LeBron James (abdominal) and Trevor Ariza (ankle) are listed as probable for the Lakers, with Anthony Davis (knee), Kent Bazemore (protocols), Avery Bradley (protocols), Talen Horton-Tucker (protocols), Dwight Howard (protocols), Malik Monk (protocols), Austin Reaves (protocols) and Kendrick Nunn (knee) ruled out. Frank Kaminsky (knee), Abdel Nader (knee) and Dario Saric (knee) are out for the Suns.

Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the seven-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 219.5 in the latest Suns vs. Lakers odds. Before making any Lakers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Suns and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Suns spread: Suns -7
  • Lakers vs. Suns over-under: 219.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Suns money line: Suns -320, Lakers +250
  • PHX: The Suns are 4-1 against the spread in the last five games
  • LAL: The Lakers are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games

Featured Game | Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns

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Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix’s defense is allowing only 1.035 points per possession this season, ranking No. 3 in the NBA, and the Suns are allowing opponents to convert less than 50 percent of 2-point attempts. The Suns are a complete team, and Phoenix’s offense is also tremendous. Monty Williams’ squad is scoring more than 1.1 points per possession, ranking No. 6 in the NBA in offensive rating. 

The Suns are converting 47.8 percent of field-goal attempts, No. 2 in the league, Phoenix is in the top 10 of the NBA in 3-point accuracy (36.8 percent), free-throw accuracy (78.8 percent) and turnover rate (13.6 percent). The Suns are No. 4 in the NBA in assists, averaging more than 26 per game, and Phoenix is assisting on 62 percent of field goals. The Suns may also have a path to free-throw creation in this matchup, with the Lakers allowing the third-most free-throw attempts per game in the league this season.

Why the Lakers can cover

Los Angeles has one of the best players of all-time on its side in James. James is averaging 25.9 points, 6.8 assists and 6.6 rebounds per game, and he is the centerpiece of the Los Angeles offense. The Lakers are making 46.4 percent of shots on offense, ranking in the top 12 in both 2-point accuracy and 3-point accuracy, and Los Angeles is averaging 24.5 assists per game. Los Angeles is also in the top ten of the NBA in points in the paint, averaging 47.2 per game, and the Lakers are No. 3 in the league in fast break points with 15.4 per contest. 

The Lakers are also above-average on the defensive end, giving up only 107.3 points per 100 possessions. Los Angeles is a top-five team in blocked shots (5.8 per game) and a top-eight team in turnovers created, forcing 15.5 giveaways per game. Opponents are shooting only 44.4 percent from the floor and 33.4 percent from 3-point distance against Los Angeles, with the Lakers capable of effectively contesting shots.

How to make Suns vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 209 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lakers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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