We have an NFC North showdown on deck for us as the Minnesota Vikings are set to visit the Chicago Bears for a “Monday Night Football” matchup at Soldier Field in just a few hours. This is the first matchup of the season between these division rivals, who will face each other twice throughout the final month of the regular season. The Bears are looking to get back into the win column as they have lost seven of their last eight. Meanwhile, the Vikings snapped their losing skid last week with a win over the Steelers.
Here, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this divisional matchup has in store for us. We’ll be taking a look at how the lines have shifted throughout the week leading into Monday night and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with a handful of our favorite player props.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
The Vikings opened as a 4-point favorite and that advantage has since jumped up quite a bit. Coming into the weekend, the spread stood at Vikings -6 and did tick up a half-point to Vikings -6.5 on Sunday afternoon.
The pick: Vikings -6.5. I liked this a lot better when the number was around 4, but Minnesota is simply in a better spot than that Bears right now. They are well rested after playing on Thursday to begin Week 14 and have dealt with minimal COVID issues, unlike the Bears. Chicago also presents a juicy matchup for Dalvin Cook, who is coming off a monster showing against the Steelers. The Bears rank 22nd in the NFL in DVOA against the run and are allowing 120 yards per game on the ground. The Vikings also led the league sacks coming into Week 15, so Justin Fields could be facing some added pressure, especially considering he may be down his two starting tackles.
Key trend: Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
The total for this game has relatively stayed the same. The early look at this number was at 43.5, but it did jump up to 44 coming out of Week 14. That largely held firm throughout the week, but the total has ticked up to 44.5 on Monday morning, moving up a full point from its opening number.
The pick: Over 44.5. Minnesota has flown over this total in its last six games as those contests have averaged roughly 58 total points. The Vikings have the necessary weapons to keep the scoring going and while Chicago’s offense does present some risks, they are averaging 22.6 points per game over the last three weeks. That should be enough for the Vikings to push us the rest of the way.
Key trend: The Over is 8-1 in the Vikings’ last 9 road games.
Kirk Cousins props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -160, Under +130)
- Passing yards: 259.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +120, Under -150)
- Completions: 21.5 (Over -130, Under +100)
- Pass attempts: 32.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Longest passing completion: 37.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
Given that Cousins has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 10 of his 13 games played this season (including six straight games coming into Monday), leaning Over on his 1.5 passing touchdowns prop seems like the way to go at -160. Chicago’s secondary has also been hit pretty hard by COVID-19, which only should open up more opportunities for Cousins to find success through the air.
Justin Fields props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +180, Under -220)
- Passing yards: 210,5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -220, Under +180)
- Completions: 17.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
- Pass attempts: 30.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Longest passing completion: 35.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
- Rushing yards: 37.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
Fields has gone over this rushing yards prop in five of his last six games. Not only is he a threat to scramble, but the rookie will also have some designed runs called for him as he’s averaging 7.5 attempts per game over the last six weeks. The Vikings also have been able to apply pressure on the quarterback this season with their league-leading sack total. That could spark Fields to be on the move even more than usual.
Player props to consider
Dalvin Cook total receiving yards: Over 16.5 (-110). Cook has gone over this mark in his last four games played and is averaging nearly five targets per game over that stretch. Chicago also ranks 20th in DVOA on passes to running backs.
David Montgomery total rushing yards: Over 59.5 (-115). The Vikings rank 26th in the NFL in DVOA against the run and have allowed teams to rush for 138 yards per game over the last three weeks.