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Falcons vs. Lions odds, line: 2021 NFL picks, Week 16 predictions from proven computer model

The Detroit Lions will take on the Atlanta Falcons at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta is 6-8 overall and 1-5 at home, while the Lions are 2-11-1 overall and 0-6-1 on the road. The Falcons have lost four of their past six games. The Lions have won two of their past three. 

The Lions have won 25 of 38 all-time meetings with the Falcons. Atlanta is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Lions odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 42.5. Before entering any Lions vs. Falcons picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021 season on an incredible 133-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Lions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Lions vs. Falcons:

  • Falcons vs. Lions spread: Falcons -6.5
  • Falcons vs. Lions over-under: 42.5 points

Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions

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What you need to know about the Falcons

The Falcons were easily handled by the San Francisco 49ers last Sunday, 31-13 on the road, Russell Gage caught eight passes for one TD and 91 yards. The Falcons are 0-5 against teams with winning records, losing all the matchups by an average of 23.8 points. The Falcons are second worst in the NFL in touchdowns allowed, with 42 on the season.

Tajae Sharpe (foot) is doubtful for Sunday’s game. Marlon Davidson (health and safety protocols) is out. Cordarrelle Patterson has 465 scrimmage yards and four receiving TDs in five home games this season.

What you need to know about the Lions

Meanwhile, the Lions shocked the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday with a 30-12 victory at home. Jared Goff passed for three TDs and 216 yards on 26 attempts. Goff was placed in health and safety protocols  this week and is not expected to play vs. Atlanta. Tim Boyle will start against the Falcons. 

Craig Reynolds rushed for a career-high 112 yards against the Cardinals. D’Andre Swift (shoulder), Josh Reynolds (thigh), Michael Brockers (knee), and Kalif Raymond (shoulder) are questionable for Sunday’s game. Amon-Ra St. Brown can become one of two rookie WRs in the Super Bowl era with eight-plus catches in four straight games

How to make Lions vs. Falcons picks

The model is leaning over on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Falcons vs. Lions? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.

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