Tuesday, January 25, 2022

2021 Las Vegas Bowl prediction, odds, spread: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State picks, bets from model on 43-30 run

The 2021 Las Vegas Bowl is set for prime time on Thursday, Dec. 30 at Allegiant Stadium. The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the Wisconsin Badgers in a clash between the Big Ten and the Pac-12. Arizona State is 8-4 this season, winning three of its last four games. Wisconsin won seven of its last eight games to also improve to 8-4 in 2021. Arizona State will be without standout running back Rachaad White, who opted out of this game to begin preparations for the 2022 NFL Draft.

Kick-off is at 10:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Badgers as six-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 41 in the latest Wisconsin vs. Arizona State odds. Before you lock in any Arizona State vs. Wisconsin picks and Las Vegas Bowl 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wisconsin vs. Arizona State and locked in its Las Vegas Bowl picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Wisconsin vs. Arizona State:

  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State spread: Wisconsin -6 
  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State over-under: 41 points 
  • Wisconsin vs. Arizona State money line: Wisconsin -230, Arizona State +190 
  • WISC: The Badgers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games 
  • ASU: The Sun Devils are 5-4 against the spread in their last nine games

Featured Game | Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why Wisconsin can cover

Wisconsin’s defense was the class of the Big Ten this season. The Badgers led the conference in total defense, passing defense and rushing defense, dominating the competition. Wisconsin allowed only 240.8 total yards per game, with fewer than 180 passing yards and only 65.2 rushing yards allowed per game. Opponents connected on just 55.7 percent of passes against Wisconsin, with teams generating only 6.4 yards per pass attempt against the Badgers. 

Wisconsin’s defense allowed only 2.1 yards per carry, more than a yard better than any other team in the Big Ten, and the Badgers allowed only nine rushing touchdowns and nine passing touchdowns this season. With 15 interceptions and 32 sacks, Wisconsin is also capable of creating havoc, and the Badgers are both explosive and consistent. 

Why Arizona State can cover

This is an appetizing matchup on the defensive side for Arizona State. The Sun Devils ranked No. 2 in the Pac-12 in total defense this season, allowing fewer than 330 yards per game, and Arizona State also allowed only 20.9 points per game. Arizona State also finished in the top four in passing defense, giving up 199.7 yards per game and just 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Arizona State has more interceptions (15) than touchdown passes allowed (12) this season, with the Sun Devils allowing only 3.6 yards per carry to opposing teams. 

Beyond that, Wisconsin’s offense is not terribly explosive. The Badgers averaged fewer than 170 passing yards per game this season, connecting on only 58.2 percent of passes and producing only 10 touchdown passes. Wisconsin also ranked near the bottom of the Big Ten in third down conversion rate, moving the chains on 32.9 percent of chances.

How to make Arizona State vs. Wisconsin picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting 40 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Las Vegas Bowl picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Arizona State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Wisconsin vs. Arizona State spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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