Thursday, January 27, 2022

2021 Music City Bowl prediction, odds, line, spread: Tennessee vs. Purdue picks from model on 43-30 run

The 2021 Music City Bowl will be a battle between the Tennessee Volunteers and Purdue Boilermakers. The Volunteers rattled off two blowout wins after losing to No. 3 Georgia and has one of the country’s most productive offenses. The Boilermakers, meanwhile, have also won their last two contests. However, Purdue’s star wideout has elected to sit out of Thursday’s bowl game. 

Kickoff from Nissan Stadium in Nashville is set for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Tennessee vs. Purdue odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Volunteers as six-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored sits at 64.5. Before locking in any Purdue vs. Tennessee picks or Music City Bowl 2021 predictions, be sure to check out the betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tennessee vs. Purdue and locked in its picks and Music City Bowl 2021 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Purdue vs. Tennessee:

  • Tennessee vs. Purdue spread: Volunteers -6
  • Tennessee vs. Purdue over-under: 64.5
  • Tennessee vs. Purdue money line: Volunteers -210, Boilermakers +175
  • TENN: The Volunteers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games
  • PUR: The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games

Featured Game | Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers

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Why Tennessee can cover

Tennessee hasn’t had a problem putting points on the board in 2021. In fact, the Volunteers average 39.0 points per game and have thrived through the air and on the ground. They’ve amassed 57 total offensive touchdowns, and Purdue could have a hard time keeping up without its top pass catcher.

The Boilermakers’ David Bell is sitting out of the 2021 Music Bowl to focus on the 2022 NFL Draft. Bell accounted for more than a quarter of Purdue’s receiving yards during the regular season, and the Boilermakers only scored 13 points in the one game he missed this year. In addition, Tennessee is 5-0 in its last five games against an opponent from the Big Ten. 

Why Purdue can cover 

Purdue covered the spread seven times during the regular season. The Boilermakers covered the spread three times on the road and once at a neutral venue. Rising to the occasion in front of a hostile crowd at Nissan Stadium isn’t out of the question for Purdue. 

The Boilermakers have also covered in four of their last five games. While they’ll be at a disadvantage without Bell, Purdue is 3-3 against the spread as underdogs. Aidan O’Connell ranks 24th in passing yards (3,177), and five Purdue players have caught at least four touchdown passes. 

How to make Purdue vs. Tennessee picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 57 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Music City Bowl picks at SportsLine

So who wins Tennessee vs. Purdue? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Purdue vs. Tennessee spread to jump on, all from the computer model that is up almost $3,600 on its top-rated college football spread picks.

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