Wednesday, January 19, 2022

2021 Peach Bowl prediction, odds, line, spread: Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh picks from model on 43-30 run

Teams that enjoyed unexpected resurgent seasons collide when the No. 11 Michigan State Spartans and the No. 13 Pitt Panthers square off in the 2021 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl on Thursday, Dec. 30 in Atlanta. The Spartans (10-2), who won just two games last season, already have completed the biggest turnaround in school history. Meanwhile, the Panthers (11-2) are ending one of the best seasons in program history, one that includes the ACC championship, Pitt’s first outright conference title ever. The top two marquee players in this matchup — Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett and Michigan State running back Kenneth Walker III — have both opted out and begun preparing for the 2022 NFL Draft

Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is at 7 p.m. ET. The Spartans are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before you make any Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State picks and Peach Bowl 2021 predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Michigan State vs. Pitt and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Pitt vs. Michigan State:  

  • Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh spread: Spartans -2.5 
  • Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh over-under: 56 points 
  • Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh money line: Spartans -140, Panthers +120 
  • MSU: Jayden Reed ranks second in the Big Ten in all-purpose yards (130.8 per game) 
  • PITT: Jordan Addison led the country in receiving touchdowns (17)

Featured Game | Michigan State Spartans vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

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Why Michigan State can cover

Michigan State has a dynamic multipurpose threat in receiver and punt/kick returner Jayden Reed. A 6-foot junior from Naperville, Ill., Reed ranks second in the Big Ten in all-purpose yards (130.8 per game) and leads the team with 53 catches for 946 yards (17.9 average) and eight touchdowns. For his efforts this season, he was named first-team all-Big Ten and one of five finalists for the Paul Hornung Award, which is given to the nation’s most versatile player.

In addition, the Spartans will face a Pitt team without its star quarterback, who has opted out of the Peach Bowl to prepare for the NFL Draft. A first-team All-America selection and the third-place finisher in the Heisman Trophy voting, Pickett had the most prolific season ever by a Panthers quarterback, completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 4,319 yards and 42 touchdowns with just seven interceptions. Junior Nick Patti, who has appeared in eight games this season, will start in Pickett’s place.

Why Pittsburgh can cover

Pittsburgh has the country’s top receiver from the season in Jordan Addison. A first-team All-America selection and the winner of the Biletnikoff Award, Addison led the country in receiving touchdowns (17) and ranked fifth in receiving yards per game (113.8) this year. He also finished 13th in the nation in receptions per game (7.2).

Addison and his pass-catching teammates will face the country’s most porous pass defense. Michigan State allowed 337.7 passing yards per game, which was the most of the 130 FBS teams. In their penultimate regular season game, the Spartans gave up 449 yards and six touchdowns on 36-of-43 passing to Ohio State.

How to make Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 46 points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can see the model’s picks only at SportsLine.

So who wins Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 43-30 run on top-rated picks, and find out.

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