Thursday, January 27, 2022

College football odds, picks, spreads, predictions for bowl season, 2021-22: Model backing Ole Miss, Iowa

There have been plenty of games with big line moves during the college football bowl schedule, but not many have shifted as much as the Rose Bowl. No. 6 Ohio State opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but the Buckeyes have plummeted to -4.5 in the latest college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, Nicholas Petit-Frere and Haskell Garrett have all opted out for the Buckeyes. Are those players worth five points to the spread?

Utah closed the regular season on a five-game winning streak before adding a win over Oregon in the Pac-12 title game. Should you be backing the Utes as motivated underdogs? And which other college football lines have value as the 2021-22 bowl season winds down? Before making any college football bowl picks or bets, be sure to see the latest college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest bowl season college football odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for bowl season

One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for the 2021-22 bowl season: No. 15 Iowa stays within the spread as a three-point underdog against No. 22 Kentucky in the Citrus Bowl. The Hawkeyes climbed as high as No. 2 in the polls this season before eventually losing a pair of games in the regular season. Still, they earned a berth in the Big Ten title game and should be motivated for a matchup against an SEC team in a premier bowl game. Iowa has one of the best defenses in college football, allowing just 19.2 points per game.

The Hawkeyes had not given up 30 points in a single game until allowing 42 against Michigan. They finished with the fourth-most takeaways (30) of any team in the country, while Kentucky had the worst turnover margin in the SEC (-11). SportsLine’s model expects Iowa’s defense to have another strong outing, which is one reason why the Hawkeyes are covering in well over 50 percent of simulations. 

Another one of the college football predictions from the model: No. 8 Ole Miss covers as a 1.5-point favorite against No. 7 Baylor in the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 1 at 8:45 p.m. ET. The Rebels feature one the nation’s most prolific offenses, averaging 35.9 points per game this season, which ranks 18th in the nation. Ole Miss is led by quarterback Matt Corral, who enters this matchup with 3,339 passing yards, 31 total touchdowns and just four interceptions.

Ole Miss also features a dynamic rushing attack, averaging 224.2 yards per game on the ground, the ninth-best mark in college football. Running back Jerrion Ealy leads the Rebels with 703 rushing yards, while Snoop Conner leads the team with 13 rushing touchdowns. SportsLine’s model expects the Rebels rush for over 170 yards against the Bears, which helps Ole Miss cover the spread in well over 60 percent of simulations. 

How to make college football bowl picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game during bowl season, and it’s projecting multiple shocking upsets. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence? And which underdogs do you need to jump on now? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,600 in profit over the past five-plus seasons, and find out.

College football odds for bowl season (via Caesars)

Here are the college football lines for bowl season:

Dec. 30:

Las Vegas Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State (+6, 41)

Featured Game | Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Purdue (+6.5, 65.5)

Duke’s Mayo Bowl: South Carolina vs. UNC (-10, 57)

Featured Game | South Carolina Gamecocks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

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Peach Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State (-2.5, 56)

Dec. 31

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl: Washington State vs. Central Michigan (+7, 57.5)

Gator Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Rutgers (+15, 62.5)

College Football Playoff semifinal: Alabama vs. Cincinnati (+13.5, 57.5)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

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College Football Playoff semifinal: Georgia vs. Michigan (+7.5, 45.5)

Featured Game | Michigan Wolverines vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Jan. 1:

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame (-2, 45)

Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Utah (+4.5, 64)

Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss vs. Baylor (+1.5, 55.5)

Featured Game | Ole Miss Rebels vs. Baylor Bears

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Citrus Bowl: Iowa vs. Kentucky (-3, 44)

Featured Game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Outback Bowl: Penn State vs. Arkansas (-2, 48)

Featured Game | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Jan. 4: 

Texas Bowl: Kansas State vs. LSU (+3.5, 48)

Jan. 10:

CFP National Championship Game: Matchup TBD

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