The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Arkansas Razorbacks are set to square off in an SEC showdown at 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Humphrey Coliseum. The Bulldogs are 9-3 overall and 7-1 at home, while Arkansas is 10-2 overall and 0-0 on the road. Arkansas picked up a 61-45 victory when these teams met in February of last season.
The Bulldogs are favored by three-points in the latest Mississippi State vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 142. Before entering any Arkansas vs. Mississippi State picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas spread: Mississippi State -3
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas over-under: 142 points
Featured Game | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
What you need to know about Mississippi State
Mississippi State will be on the court for the first time in more than a week, as it blew out Winthrop in an 84-63 final on Dec. 21 its last outing. Guard Iverson Molinar had another big game, scoring 22 points. He is now averaging 16.9 points per game to lead a team that ranks No. 39 in field goal percentage (47.8%).
The Bulldogs will be interested in controlling the pace, as they rank No. 321 in average possession length. They have been extremely efficient, listed at No. 31 in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. In addition, Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games against Arkansas.
What you need to know about Arkansas
Arkansas is coming off a blowout win of its own, cruising past Elon in an 81-55 decision on Dec. 21. The Razorbacks have a balanced lineup that features four players averaging double figures. Guard JD Notae leads the way, scoring 18 points per game on average.
Notae and his teammates love to get out in transition, ranked No. 21 in adjusted tempo. Guard Chris Lykes scored 21 points against Elon in his first start of the season; he is now averaging 13.2 points per game. Arkansas has won 12 of its last 13 conference games.
How to make Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks
The model has simulated Mississippi State vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Arkansas vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread covers over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks.