Wednesday, January 19, 2022

2022 Fiesta Bowl prediction, odds, spread: Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State picks from model on 43-30 run

A pair of top-10 opponents face off on New Year’s Day when the ninth-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys meet the fifth-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Ariz. The Cowboys (11-2), who finished first in the Big 12 Conference at 8-1, are coming off a 21-16 loss to Baylor in the conference championship. The Fighting Irish (11-1), who have won seven in a row, are playing in their sixth Fiesta Bowl all-time. This will be the Fighting Irish’s first game without coach Brian Kelly, who has moved on to LSU.

Kickoff from State Farm Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. This will be the first-ever meeting between the teams. The Fighting Irish are two-point favorites in the latest Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 45. Before making any Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State picks, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame and locked in its Fiesta Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State:

  • Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame spread: Notre Dame -2
  • Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame over-under: 45 points
  • Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame money line: Oklahoma State +110, Notre Dame -130
  • OKST: The Cowboys are 5-0 against the spread in their last five bowl games

  • ND: The Fighting Irish are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall

Featured Game | Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

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Why Notre Dame can cover

Graduate senior quarterback Jack Coan leads the Fighting Irish offense, and finished the regular season completing 67.8 percent of his passes. He completed 215 of 317 attempts for 2,641 yards and 20 touchdowns. He was intercepted six times and had a rating of 154.8, while also rushing for a pair of scores. Coan is coming off a huge game in a win at Stanford on Nov. 27 when he completed 26 of 35 passes (74.3 percent) for 345 yards and two touchdowns.

Leading rusher Kyren Williams has opted out of the game after declaring for the NFL Draft. In his place will be either sophomore Chris Tyree or freshman Logan Diggs, both capable of taking over a larger role in the offense. Tyree was the third-leading rusher on the team, carrying 50 times for 204 yards (4.1 average) and one TD. Diggs carried 43 times for 201 yards (4.7 average) and three touchdowns.

Why Oklahoma State can cover

Despite that, the Fighting Irish are not a lock to cover the Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame spread because the Cowboys have an explosive offense led by redshirt junior quarterback Spencer Sanders. Sanders became the second first-team all-conference QB in school history, joining Brandon Weeden in 2010, and is one of three Oklahoma State players with more than 4,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards in his career. For the year, Sanders has completed 209 of 340 passes (61.5 percent) for 2,468 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has been intercepted 12 times, has a rating of 130.9 and has also carried 129 times for 543 yards (4.2 average) and six touchdowns.

Redshirt senior running back Jaylen Warren, the Big 12 Offensive Newcomer of the Year and a finalist for the 2021 Polynesian College Football Player of the Year Award, leads the team in rushing, carrying 237 times for 1,134 yards (4.8 average) and 11 touchdowns. The transfer from Utah State has started the past 11 games for OSU, averaging 99 rushing yards per game. Warren has the Cowboys’ longest rush — a 75-yard touchdown run at Boise State, and reception — a 52-yard catch vs. Kansas State. He had 151 carries for 851 yards and eight touchdowns in 15 games played over two years at Utah State.

How to make Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State picks

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