Wednesday, January 19, 2022

2022 Outback Bowl prediction, odds, spread: Penn State vs. Arkansas picks, bets from model on 43-30 run

The 2022 Outback Bowl is set for New Year’s Day on Saturday. Penn State and No. 21 Arkansas will face off at Raymond James Stadium. The Nittany Lions won’t have key players on both sides of the ball, but a glaring absence at receiver could put them at a disadvantage in this contest. Can the Razorbacks take advantage of their superior offense against one of the country’s sturdiest defensive teams?

Kickoff is scheduled for 12 p.m. ET. The Razorbacks are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Penn State vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before making any Penn State vs. Arkansas picks and college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Penn State and locked in its Outback Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Penn State vs. Arkansas:

  • Penn State vs. Arkansas spread: Arkansas -2.5
  • Penn State vs. Arkansas over-under: 48.5 points
  • Penn State vs. Arkansas money line: Razorbacks -135, Nittany Lions +115
  • PSU: The total has gone under in five of the Nittany Lions’ previous six games
  • ARK: The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games

Featured Game | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

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Why Penn State can cover

Penn State covered seven times during the regular season. While the Nittany Lions can light it up on offense, their defense has powered them to success ATS. The Nittany Lions won’t have star receiver Jahan Dotson for Saturday’s matchup but can cover by forcing stops.

The Nittany Lions’ elite scoring defense allowed fewer than 17 points per game. It gave up 20 offensive touchdowns on the season and only Georgia, Clemson, and Wisconsin can top that mark. Keeping the KJ Jefferson-powered Razorbacks out of the end zone could help the underdogs come out on top.

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas played five games away from home during the regular season and covered in four of those contests, with one coming at a neutral site. While the Razorbacks are slight favorites, they have momentum on their side ahead of Saturday. They’ve covered in three straight contests thanks to strong performances from their dual-threat quarterback.

Jefferson has done it all for Arkansas on offense. He’s thrown for 2,578 yards and 21 touchdowns with only three interceptions. The sophomore signal-caller ranks second on his team in rushing yards with 554 and tied for a team-high in rushing touchdowns with five. His skill set can help Arkansas make up for the fact that Treylon Burks won’t be suiting up against a Nittany Lions team that’s missing key players on both sides of the ball.

How to make Penn State vs. Arkansas picks

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