Sunday, January 23, 2022

2022 Citrus Bowl prediction, odds, spread: Kentucky vs. Iowa picks, best bets from model on 43-30 run

Ranked opponents looking to finish off their seasons strong meet when the No. 15 Iowa Hawkeyes battle the No. 22 Kentucky Wildcats in the 2022 Citrus Bowl on New Year’s Day. The Hawkeyes (10-3), who won the Big Ten West Division at 7-2, are coming off a 42-3 loss to Michigan in the Big Ten Championship Game on Dec. 4. The Wildcats (9-3), who placed second in the SEC East Division at 5-3, have won three in a row. The Hawkeyes will be without standout running back Tyler Goodson, who will skip the bowl game after declaring for the NFL Draft.

Kickoff from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla., is set for 1 p.m. ET. This will be the first-ever meeting between the teams. The Wildcats are three-point favorites in the latest Iowa vs. Kentucky odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 44. Before locking in any Kentucky vs. Iowa picks or Citrus Bowl 2022 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Kentucky vs. Iowa and locked in its Citrus Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Iowa vs. Kentucky:

  • Iowa vs. Kentucky spread: Kentucky -3
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky over-under: 44 points
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky money line: Iowa +125, Kentucky -145
  • IOWA: The Hawkeyes are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games after allowing over 40 points in their previous game
  • UK: The Wildcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games

Featured Game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why Kentucky can cover

Offensively, the Wildcats are led by junior quarterback Will Levis, who finished the regular season by completing 216 of 325 passes (66.5 percent) for 2,593 yards, 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions for a rating of 149.4. He also rushed 92 times for 387 yards (4.2 average) and nine touchdowns. He is a two-time Manning Award Quarterback of the Week and started all 12 games. Levis had two games this season with both three passing touchdowns and two rushing TDs, the only Wildcat to ever do so.

Junior running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. is also a big part of the offense, leading Kentucky in rushing with 1,272 yards on 205 carries (6.2 average) and eight touchdowns. Rodriguez, who is on both the Maxwell Award watch list and the Doak Walker Award watch list, earned first-team All-SEC honors from The Associated Press and USA Today Network. He ranks sixth in the SEC in all-purpose yards per game at 110.67, and became the 10th player in school history to surpass 2,000 career rushing yards. Rodriguez has 2,633 career rushing yards, which ranks seventh on Kentucky’s career rushing list.  

Why Iowa can cover

Despite that, the Wildcats are not a lock to cover the Iowa vs. Kentucky spread because the Hawkeyes already have three wins over ranked opponents this season. Junior quarterback Spencer Petras powers the offense as he led the team by completing 146 of 258 passes (56.6 percent) for 1,669 yards and nine touchdowns. He was picked off six times, but had a rating of 117.8 and also rushed for five touchdowns. Petras has started 18 of 24 career games he has played in, compiling a 13-5 record and passing for 3,263 career yards, 13th in school history.

Petras’ top target is junior tight end Sam LaPorta, who led the team in receptions (46) and receiving yards (584). He has started 18 of 33 career games played and is on the Mackey Award watch list. LaPorta had a career-high seven receptions for 65 yards in a Week 3 win over Kent State. He had five catches for a career-high 83 yards in a Week 1 victory over Indiana.

How to make Iowa vs. Kentucky picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 47 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Citrus Bowl picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Kentucky vs. Iowa? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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