Wednesday, January 19, 2022

2022 Rose Bowl prediction, odds, spread: Ohio State vs. Utah picks, bets from model on 43-30 run

The No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes will have a chip on their shoulder Saturday when they face the 11th-ranked Utah Utes in the 2022 Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif. The Buckeyes (10-2) have been simmering over a sloppy 42-27 loss to Michigan in their season finale, their first loss to the Wolverines in nine years. They were in position to reach the College Football Playoff and had not lost since a 35-28 setback to Oregon in September. The Utes (10-3) won six straight to close their regular season, crushing that Oregon team 38-20 in the Pac-12 title game.

Kickoff is set for 5 p.m. ET at Rose Bowl Stadium. The Buckeyes are four-point favorites in the latest Utah vs. Ohio State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 64. Before locking in any Ohio State vs. Utah picks or Rose Bowl 2022 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Ohio State vs. Utah and locked in its Rose Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Utah vs. Ohio State:

  • Utah vs. Ohio State spread: Buckeyes -4
  • Utah vs. Ohio State over-under: 64 points
  • Utah vs. Ohio State money line: Utes +160, Buckeyes -190
  • UTAH: It is 4-5 ATS at neutral sites the past 10 years.
  • OSU: It is 10-8 ATS at neutral sites since 2012.

Featured Game | Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Utah Utes

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Why Ohio State can cover

OSU is 18-12-1 against the spread as a favorite under coach Ryan Day (since 2019) and the Buckeyes will be motivated to finish strong after the penalty-filled loss to Michigan. Ohio State still had 458 yards in that game and leads the nation in that category at 551.3 per game. It also leads all FBS teams in scoring (45.5 points), and QB C.J. Stroud leads a prolific passing game. He completes 70.9 percent of his passes (sixth in FBS), ranks ninth in the nation with 3,862 passing yards and threw 38 TDs but will be missing two top receivers.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (1,259 yards) will carry the load with Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave opting out. He averages 15.7 yards per catch and has six TDs, while RB TreVeyon Henderson has 1,450 total yards and 19 TDs for the Buckeyes. The defense has forced 19 turnovers, but OSU is plus-10 in turnover margin while the Utes are even (14-14). Ohio State allows fewer than 21 points per game (25th in FBS) and safety Ronnie Hickman makes plays all over the field, leading the team with 95 tackles and adding a sack and two picks.     

Why Utah can cover

Utah is 37-21-1 ATS as an underdog under coach Kyle Whittingham (since 2015), and the Utes have a top-25 defense across the board. They have the sixth-most sacks in the nation with 42, and Mika Tafua (9.5) and Devin Lloyd (eight) were the top two sack producers in the Pac-12. The unit allows per-game averages of just 317.3 yards (13th in FBS) and 20.6 points (24th) as Utah is 24th against the pass (195.3 yards per game) and 22nd against the run (122). The Utes held Oregon, then ranked No. 10, to 221 yards (147 passing) and had two takeaways in the finale.

The Utes are 19-15-1 ATS against ranked teams under Whittingham, and the offense led by QB Cameron Rising leans toward the run. Utah averages 216.2 yards per game on the ground, with RB Tavion Thomas putting up 1,041 and 20 TDs and Rising chipping in 407 yards. The QB also has 2,279 passing yards and 18 TDs as he relies on his tight ends and tries to avoid mistakes as he went without an interception in eight of 11 starts. TEs Brant Kuithe and Dalton Kincaid have combined for 77 catches for 999 yards and 13 TDs.   

How to make Utah vs. Ohio State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting 56 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Rose Bowl picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Ohio State vs. Utah? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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