Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Bucks vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, spread, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 1 best bets from model on 48-24 run

A jam-packed New Year’s Day NBA schedule begins with an intriguing matchup in Milwaukee. The New Orleans Pelicans visit the Milwaukee Bucks in a cross-conference battle. The Bucks are 24-13 this season, with the Pelicans entering at 13-22 overall. Khris Middleton (personal), Semi Ojeleye (protocols) and Brook Lopez (back) are out for Milwaukee. Zion Williamson (foot), Jonas Valanciunas (protocols) and Kira Lewis (knee) are out for New Orleans, with Brandon Ingram (Achilles) listed as questionable.

Tipoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Milwaukee is listed as an 11-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 221.5 in the latest Pelicans vs. Bucks odds. Before making any Bucks vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 48-24 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Pelicans and just revealed its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pelicans vs. Bucks:

  • Pelicans vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -11
  • Pelicans vs. Bucks over-under: 221.5 points
  • Pelicans vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -700, Pelicans +475
  • NOP: The Pelicans are 6-13 against the spread in road games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 6-11 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. New Orleans Pelicans

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Why the Pelicans can cover

New Orleans has a significant advantage on the glass, even against a Milwaukee team that is above-average in rebounding. The Pelicans lead the NBA in defensive rebound rate at 75.5 percent, and New Orleans is No. 3 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate at 30.3 percent. The Pelicans generate 14.1 second-chance points while giving up only 11.9 second-chance points on defense, and those extra possessions boost efficiency. 

On offense, New Orleans is in the top 10 in the NBA in free-throw accuracy (79.6 percent), assists (24.6 per game) and assist rate (63.5 percent), with above-average marks in fast-break points (13.0 per game), points in the paint (45.1 per game) and free-throw attempts (20.7 per game). On defense, the Pelicans are in the top 10 in preventing fast-break points, allowing only 11.3 per game, and New Orleans is above-average in allowing only 23.9 assists per game.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee’s defense is excellent on an annual basis, and the 2021-22 season is no different. The Bucks are allowing only 107.3 points per 100 possessions, and opponents are shooting just 44.0 percent from the field and 33.7 percent from 3-point range against Milwaukee. New Orleans ranks in the bottom six of the NBA in 2-point percentage and field-goal percentage, setting up an advantageous situation for Milwaukee.

The Bucks are in the top 10 in free-throw attempts allowed (19.1 per game) and defensive rebound rate (73.9 percent), with top-eight marks in points allowed in the paint (42.4 per game) and fast-break points allowed (11.2 per game). On offense, the Bucks are also stellar, scoring more than 1.11 points per possession. Milwaukee ranks in the top ten in 3-pointers (14.1 per game) and 3-point accuracy (36.0 percent), with above-average marks in free-throw creation (21.1 attempts per game), offensive rebound rate (27.4 percent) and second-chance points per game (13.9 per game).

How to make Pelicans vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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