Thursday, February 22, 2024

Chargers vs. Broncos odds, line, how to watch, live stream: NFL picks, Week 17 prediction by advanced model

Denver Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgewater missed last week’s game with a concussion and will miss a second-straight game when the Denver Broncos take on the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 17. Drew Lock passed for just 153 yards in last week’s loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, but perhaps the greater concern for Denver should be its ineffective ground attack, which mustered just 18 yards on 16 carries. That is welcome news for the Chargers, who lost last week to the Houston Texans primarily due to Rex Burkhead having a career day with nearly 150 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a Week 16 upset.

Kickoff on Sunday is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from SoFi Stadium, where the Chargers are 4-4 this season. Los Angeles is favored by 7.5 points in the latest Chargers vs. Broncos odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is 45.5. In select markets, Sunday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Chargers vs. Broncos

  • Broncos vs. Chargers date: Sunday, Jan. 2
  • Broncos vs. Chargers time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Broncos vs. Chargers TV channel: CBS 
  • Broncos vs. Chargers live stream: Paramount+

Week 17 NFL picks for Broncos vs. Chargers

Before you tune in to Sunday’s Chargers vs. Broncos game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021 season on an incredible 134-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Broncs vs. Chargers, the model is backing the Chargers to cover as 7.5-point favorites at home. Los Angeles has been an underwhelming 3-4 against the spread as a home favorite this season, but the Broncos’ offense appears to be stuck in second gear. Following the news that Lock is likely to start for a second consecutive game, there isn’t much cause for optimism that the Broncos have what it takes to keep up with the Chargers’ offense.

Los Angeles should be motivated to respond after last week’s disappointing loss to the Houston Texans. Even though he completed 77 percent of his passes for 336 yards last week, Chargers QB Justin Herbert spoiled his own day with two interceptions. The same could be said about Justin Jackson, who started in place of Austin Ekeler (COVID-19/reserve). Jackson ran for two touchdowns and had 98 yards receiving, but he also lost a fumble and turnovers kept Houston alive all afternoon. With Ekeler likely back this week, as well as defensive stars Joey Bosa (COVID-19) and Derwin James (hamstring), the Chargers should be in much better shape on both sides of the ball than they were a week ago.

The SportsLine model predicts that Hebert will throw for another 300 yards on Sunday and push for three touchdowns through the air. The Denver running back tandem of Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams is also projected to combine for more than 100 rushing yards, but it won’t be enough to keep within a touchdown of Los Angeles. The model likes the Chargers to cover the spread and pick up their ninth win in almost 60 percent of simulations.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more

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