Sunday, January 23, 2022

Alabama vs. Georgia odds, picks: 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship prediction from top model

The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs will try to halt their hex against the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide when the teams meet on Jan. 10 in the College Football Playoff Final. Georgia (13-1) will be seeking revenge for a 41-24 loss in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 4, and the Tide also denied the Bulldogs the title in the final after the 2017 season. Georgia hasn’t won a national title since 1980, while Alabama (13-1) is the defending champion and has won seven national championships since 1992. Both teams won their semifinals by more than 20 points, with Alabama beating Cincinnati 27-6 and Georgia routing Michigan 34-11. 

Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are three-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 52.5. Before entering any Georgia vs. Alabama picks or CFP title game predictions, you’ll want to see the betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Bulldogs -3
  • Alabama vs. Georgia over-under: 52.5 points
  • Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Crimson Tide +125, Bulldogs -145
  • BAMA: Alabama is 49-35 ATS vs. ranked teams since Nick Saban was hired in 2007.
  • UGA: Georgia is 21-13 ATS against ranked teams under Kirby Smart (since 2016)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Why Alabama can cover 

Alabama will come in with a chip on its shoulder as an underdog against a team it dominated a month ago. The Crimson Tide amassed 536 yards, with quarterback Bryce Young throwing for 421 and three touchdowns in the rout. Wide receiver Jameson Williams had 187 of those yards and two scores, and he comes off a seven-catch performance against Cincinnati. Alabama is scoring 42.5 points per game (fourth in FBS) and averages 495 yards (sixth). The Tide convert on third down at a 52.7 percent clip (third in the nation) while opponents are converting at only 31 percent (seventh).

The underdog is 7-1 against the spread in the past eight meetings, and Alabama has won seven straight against the Bulldogs. The Tide can move the ball on the ground if the Bulldogs disrupt the pass, with Brian Robinson Jr. averaging almost 98 yards per game. He had 198 in the win against Cincinnati, averaging 7.9 per carry. 

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia is 13-6 against the spread in neutral-site games under coach Kirby Smart (since 2016), who spent nine years on Nick Saban’s staff at Alabama. He helped build the Tide defense and has built an equally impressive one at Georgia. The Bulldogs lead the nation in allowing 9.5 points per game. Georgia’s defense is effective against the pass (172.2 yards per game, third in FBS) and the run (82.2, fourth). 

The Bulldogs are 9-5 against the spread, and the offense has plenty of talent. Quarterback Stetson Bennett can make plays with his arm (2,638 yards, 27 TDs, seven INTs) and legs (283 rushing yards). Tight end Brock Bowers is the top receiver, and he got 10 of his 52 catches and 139 of his 846 yards this season in the December matchup against Alabama. He has scored 12 times. Running backs Zamir White (772 yards, 10 TDs) and James Cook (920 total yards, 6.1 per carry) lead a run game that averaged 195 yards per game (30th in FBS).   

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 46 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.

So who wins Georgia vs. Alabama in the 2022 College Football National Championship game? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a roll on its college football picks, and find out.

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