Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Alabama vs. Georgia picks, odds: 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship prediction from top model

The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs will see a familiar foe standing in their way when they face the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The Bulldogs (13-1) haven’t won a national championship since 1980, and they were in this spot following the 2017 season but Alabama (13-1) pulled out a 26-23 victory in overtime to deny that chance. The Tide also kept the Bulldogs from winning the SEC title this season, beating the Bulldogs 41-24 in the championship game on Dec. 4. Alabama is the defending national champion and the Crimson Tide is 42-25-4 in the all-time series, winning seven straight.

Kickoff in Indianapolis is set for 8 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook list the Bulldogs as three-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds. The over-under for total points is set at 52. Before entering any Georgia vs. Alabama picks or CFP title game predictions, you’ll want to see the betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Bulldogs -3
  • Alabama vs. Georgia over-under: 52 points
  • Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Crimson Tide +125, Bulldogs -145
  • BAMA: Alabama is 49-35 ATS vs. ranked teams since Nick Saban was hired in 2007.
  • UGA: Georgia is 21-13 ATS against ranked teams under Kirby Smart (since 2016)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Why Alabama can cover 

Alabama has been an underdog nine times under Saban and is 5-3-1 ATS. It dominated the last meeting, scoring 24 points in the second quarter and holding the Bulldogs to one TD in the second half. QB Bryce Young threw for 421 yards as Bama piled up 536 yards. The offense averages 495 per game (sixth in FBS) and scores 42.5 points (fourth). Young is second in the nation in passing TDs (46) and third in passing yards (4.503). Jameson Williams had 187 receiving yards in the SEC title game, and he had seven catches in the win against Cincinnati.

The Tide are 25-16 ATS in games at a neutral site since 2007, and the Bulldogs are likely to have trouble keeping Will Anderson Jr. out of the backfield. The sophomore leads the nation with 17.5 sacks, with 14.5 coming during his current run of at least one in eight straight games. LB Henry To’oTo’o also provides intense leadership and has a team-high 101 tackles and four sacks, while DB Jordan Battle has three interceptions, returning two of them for touchdowns. The Tide have picked off 15 passes, and it got two of those in the SEC title game victory.   

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia is 9-5 against the spread this season, 3-1 at neutral sites, and it faces an Alabama defense that isn’t at its typical level. The Tide have allowed more than 20 points seven times this season, while the Bulldogs held opponents to 10 points or fewer in nine games. Georgia allows an average of 9.5 points while scoring more than 39, and two crucial turnovers contributed to the loss in the SEC title game. QB Stetson Bennett threw for 340 yards in the game, but had two picks, one returned for a TD. He threw just seven interceptions all season while tossing 27 TD passes.

The Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS against ranked teams this season, and Bennett has passed for 2,681 yards but also chips in on the powerful run game. He has 283 rushing yards, but RBs Zamir White (772 yards, 10 TDs) and James Cook (920 total yards) lead the way. The defense also has a clear strength, with Nakobe Dean (six sacks) and Channing Tindall (4.5) leading a stacked linebacker crew. The defense is second in the nation in yards allowed per game (254.4), and DB Derion Kendrick (four interceptions) will help lock down a depleted Alabama receiving corps.

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 48 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.

So who wins Georgia vs. Alabama in the 2022 College Football National Championship game? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a roll on its college football picks, and find out.

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