Two teams that find themselves at opposite ends of the ACC standings early in the season square off on Wednesday when Pittsburgh visits Louisville at 7 p.m. ET. The Cardinals are 9-4 overall and 5-2 at home, while the Panthers have won two of their last three, and only lost their most recent game against Notre Dame by a single point on December 28. Louisville is one of four teams in the conference that is off to an undefeated start in the ACC.
The Cardinals are favored by 12.5 points in the latest Louisville vs. Pittsburgh odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 131. Before entering any Pittsburgh vs. Louisville picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Louisville vs. Pittsburgh spread: Louisville -12.5
- Louisville vs. Pittsburgh over-under: 131 points
Featured Game | Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
What you need to know about Louisville
Louisville came out on top in a nail-biter against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Sunday, sneaking past 67-64. The Cardinals got double-digit scoring performances from four players: forwards Malik Williams (20) and Matt Cross (13), as well as guards Dre Davis (13) and Noah Locke (10). Louisville came out on top despite a relatively poor shooting night from beyond the arc, and made just 26.3 percent of its shots. Louisville hasn’t been that strong of a three-point shooting side all season long, and has hit just 31 percent of its shots from beyond the arc, but that hasn’t gotten in the way of its early success.
Much of the reason Louisville has been able to overcome its deficiency shooting from distance is its defense. Cardinals opponents have made just 38.8 of their shots from the field this season. Louisville has also led the ACC early on as a top rebounding side. The Cards’ 40 boards per game are tops in the conference, and Williams leads the team in rebounds with 9.4 per contest.
What you need to know about Pittsburgh
Pitt was just a bucket short of a victory last Tuesday and fell 68-67 to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. A silver lining for Pitt was the play of sophomore forward John Hugley, who had 18 points along with six boards. Hugley has been Pitt’s most impactful player this season, and has averaged 14.8 points and 7.9 rebounds through 13 games played. Fellow sophomore Femi Odukale has been another top player for the Panthers this season, and averages 12.4 points and 3.3 assists per contest.
The Panthers have done well to draw fouls from opponents this season to the tune of 18.2 per game. As a result, they average 23 free-throws each time they take the floor. However, Pitt has struggled from the line, and has made just 66.2 percent of its free throws for the season. The Panthers have been better in ACC play and have made 73.7 percent in those matchups, and made 16-of-22 against the Irish in their last game.
How to make Louisville vs. Pittsburgh picks
The model has simulated Pittsburgh vs. Louisville 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Louisville vs. Pittsburgh? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks and find out.