Friday, January 28, 2022

Celtics vs. Spurs prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 5 best bets from model on 50-27 run

TD Garden hosts an intriguing cross-conference NBA matchup on Wednesday. The San Antonio Spurs visit the Boston Celtics on the second night of a back-to-back. San Antonio has dominated this series in recent years, winning seven of its last 10 meetings against the Celtics.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Boston. The Celtics are listed as 7.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 223 in the latest Spurs vs. Celtics odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before you make any Celtics vs. Spurs picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 50-27 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Spurs and revealed its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Spurs vs. Celtics:

  • Spurs vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -7.5
  • Spurs vs. Celtics over-under: 223 points
  • Spurs vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -330, Spurs +260
  • SA: The Spurs are 3-3 against the spread in the last six games with no rest
  • BOS: The Celtics are 8-9-1 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. San Antonio Spurs

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why the Spurs can cover

San Antonio’s offense is off to a strong start in 2021-22, including a league-leading mark in assists per game (28.4). The Spurs are scoring 1.1 points per possession, ranking above the league average, and San Antonio is in the top 10 in field goal shooting at more than 46 percent. The Spurs are assisting on well over 60 percent of field goals this season, and San Antonio is committing fewer than 13 turnovers per contest. San Antonio also makes headway on the offensive glass, securing more than 27 percent of available rebounds, and the Spurs rank in the top 10 in second-chance points and fast break points. 

On defense, the Spurs are above-average in steals and blocks, with top-six rankings in free throw prevention and fast break points allowed. The Celtics are in the bottom 10 of the NBA in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and assists, giving the Spurs confidence defensively against Boston.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston’s defense is very strong this season, and San Antonio’s offense has a few clear shortcomings. The Spurs are No. 29 in the NBA in 3-pointers per game, with San Antonio also falling in the bottom three in both free throw attempts and free throw percentage. The Celtics are holding opponents to only 1.07 points per possession, a top-10 figure in the sport, and Boston is holding opponents to only 34.3 percent shooting from 3-point range and 12.5 second-chance points per game. 

Boston is in the top five of the league in field goal percentage (44.1 percent) and two-point percentage (50.6 percent), with opponents generating only 21.6 assists per game. Boston’s offense also uses the free throw line to its advantage, taking 21.8 free throw attempts per game and making 81.1 percent of those shots. 

How to make Spurs vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 218 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Spurs? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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