Sunday, January 23, 2022

Clippers vs. Suns prediction, odds, spread, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 6 best bets from model on 50-27 run

The Footprint Center hosts a Western Conference battle between the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday evening. The Suns are 29-8 this season with a 16-4 home record. The Clippers are 19-19 overall and 7-8 in road games. Deandre Ayton (reconditioning), JaVale McGee (reconditioning), Landry Shamet (protocols) and Jae Crowder (reconditioning) are out for the Suns. Paul George (elbow), Luke Kennard (protocols), Isaiah Hartenstein (ankle), Ivica Zubac (protocols) and Kawhi Leonard (knee) are out for the Clippers, with Nicolas Batum (ankle) and Brandon Boston (reconditioning) listed as questionable.

Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET in Phoenix. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 11.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220.5 in the latest Clippers vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 50-27 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Suns, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Suns vs. Clippers:

  • Clippers vs. Suns spread: Suns -11.5
  • Clippers vs. Suns over-under: 220.5 points 
  • Clippers vs. Suns money line: Suns -800, Clippers +550
  • LAC: The Clippers are 8-7 against the spread in road games 
  • PHX: The Suns are 10-10 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers

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Why the Clippers can cover

The Clippers are strong defensively. L.A. is holding opponents to only 106.4 points per 100 possessions this season, largely because the opposition struggles to convert shots against the Clippers. Opponents are shooting just 33.1 percent from 3-point range against L.A., and the Clippers are in the top eight of the NBA in 2-point defense at 51.0 percent. The Clippers also lead the entire NBA in free-throw prevention, allowing 17.3 attempts per game, and rank in the top 10 in assists allowed (23.4 per game) and turnovers created (14.7 per game). 

The Suns are tremendous, but Phoenix is below-average on the offensive glass and in the bottom five in free-throw attempts this season. The Clippers create transition opportunities with 7.9 steals per game, and L.A. is making more than 36 percent of 3-point attempts on offense. The Clippers are also above-average at the free-throw line, making 78.3 percent of attempts.

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix ranks in the top three of the NBA in win-loss record and point differential, largely due to elite units on both ends of the floor. The Suns are scoring 111.6 points per 100 possessions while giving up only 104.1 points per 100 possessions. Phoenix leads the NBA in field-goal percentage on offense, making 47.7 percent of shots, and are No. 3 in the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, with opponents shooting 42.8 percent. The Suns are in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point percentage (37.0 percent) and free-throw percentage (79.9 percent) on offense, with 26.3 assists per game and 1.9 assists for every turnover. 

On defense, opponents are shooting only 32.8 percent from 3-point range against Phoenix, and the Suns are in the top eight in turnovers created (15.4 per game) and steals (8.8 per game). Phoenix is allowing only 20.5 free-throw attempts per game, 22.6 assists per game and 11.4 fast break points per game.

How to make Clippers vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 208 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Suns vs. Clippers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Clippers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Suns spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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