Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Alabama vs. Georgia prediction, odds: 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship picks from top model

It’s mentor against student when the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide face the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs in the 2022 College Football Playoff Championship game on Monday, Jan. 10 in Indianapolis. Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart spent nine years on Alabama legend Nick Saban’s staff, but he is 0-4 against his former boss. That includes a 26-23 overtime loss in the 2017 CFP title game. The Tide (13-1) are going for their seventh national title under Saban, while the Bulldogs (13-1) haven’t won one since 1980. Alabama beat UGA 41-27 in the SEC Championship Game, its second straight win against the Bulldogs by that score.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Bulldogs are listed at -2.5 in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is 52, down half a point from the opening line. Before locking in any Georgia vs. Alabama picks or CFP title game predictions, be sure to see the betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the final week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Bulldogs -2.5
  • Alabama vs. Georgia over-under: 52 points
  • Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Crimson Tide +115, Bulldogs -135
  • BAMA: Alabama is 49-35 ATS vs. ranked teams since Nick Saban was hired in 2007.
  • UGA: Georgia is 21-13 ATS against ranked teams under Kirby Smart (since 2016)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Why Alabama can cover 

The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the Bulldogs were six-point favorites in the December meeting. QB Bryce Young threw for 421 yards and three TDs as Alabama piled up 536 yards. Alabama has won seven straight against the Bulldogs, and UGA’s vaunted defense had trouble covering WR Jameson Williams. The junior had 187 receiving yards and finished the regular season with 1,507 and 15 TDs. John Metchie III is out with a torn ACL, but Williams had seven catches and Ja’Corey Brooks had a 44-yard TD reception against Cincinnati.

The Tide mostly relied on the running game in the victory against the Bearcats, with RB Brian Robinson Jr. rushing for 204 yards against a strong defense. Alabama scores 42.5 points per game, fourth-most in the nation, while the defense allows just over 20, which ranks 20th. It has what might be the nation’s best defensive player in Will Anderson Jr., who has an FBS-high 17.5 sacks. The Tide intercepted two passes in the last matchup, returning one for the TD that essentially sealed the game. Alabama is 17-12-1 ATS after a bye week under Nick Saban.

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia is 13-6 ATS at neutral sites since Smart took over in 2016, and the defense will come in fired up after a dominant performance in the Orange Bowl against Michigan. It held the Wolverines to 328 yards and had four sacks and three takeaways. All-Americans Jordan Davis and Nakobe Dean anchor the front seven, and DB Derion Kendrick is the star of a strong secondary. The 340-pound Davis clogs the middle to deter the run, linebackers Dean (six sacks) and Channing Tindall (4.5) set the tone, and Kendrick (four interceptions) is a playmaker.

The Bulldogs are 9-5 against the spread this season, 3-1 at neutral sites, and the Tide are dealing with some key losses. Cornerback Josh Jobe (foot) is out for the season, and Jalyn Armour-Davis has a nagging hip injury. Meanwhile, Bulldogs WR George Pickens could be an X-factor, as the 6-foot-3 wideout returned from knee surgery Nov. 27. QB Stetson Bennett (2,681 yards) will try to avoid the mistakes that cost the Dawgs in December. RB James Cook (920 total yards) is a major threat and had 112 yards on four receptions against Michigan.     

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 47 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.

So who wins Georgia vs. Alabama in the 2022 College Football National Championship game? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a roll on its college football picks, and find out.

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