Saturday, January 22, 2022

Fantasy Football Week 18: Non-PPR Cheat Sheet to help you get the most out of your starting lineups

The Lineup Cheat Sheet combines Fantasy analysis and game-flow predictions with a confidence scale to give you a definitive answer on who to start in your leagues.

It’s pretty simple: The scale runs from 1-10. The higher the number next to a player’s name, the more confident you should be to start him. The numbers are not a projection, just a confidence score to help you pick who to start. Every relevant player for this week is here, so if a player isn’t listed, don’t start him.

To find a specific player, use your search function — CTRL-F on PCs and Command-F on Macs. If neither of those are options, or if you’re on a mobile device, you can scroll by game.

If you’re still unsure, just send a note on Twitter (@daverichard) and I’ll give it a look, time permitting. 

Ready to get off on the right foot? Here’s how to approach every play for this week in PPR leagues — you can find our PPR cheat sheet here.

More Week 18: Waiver Wire | RB Preview | QB Preview | WR Preview | TE Preview | Start ‘Em & Sit ‘Em | Sleepers, Starts, Sits and Busts

All lines from Caesars Sportsbook.

Playoff scenarios: A Chiefs win and Titans loss clinches the No. 1 seed in AFC for Kansas City. The Chiefs shouldn’t be expected to rest their starters.

Chiefs RTG (MAX 10) Broncos RTG (MAX 10)
Patrick Mahomes (9.4) Drew Lock (2.5)
Darrel Williams (9.0) Javonte Williams (6.9)
Tyreek Hill (8.6) Melvin Gordon (6.7)
Mecole Hardman (4.6) Courtland Sutton (4.0)
Byron Pringle (3.3) Jerry Jeudy (2.7)
Travis Kelce (9.1) Tim Patrick (3.7)
Chiefs DST (9.4) Noah Fant (7.6)

Broncos DST (4.5)

Playoff scenarios: The Cowboys have clinched a first-round home playoff game and may rest their starters for part of the game. The Eagles have clinched a playoff berth and are almost certain to rest their starters.

Cowboys RTG (MAX 10) Eagles RTG (MAX 10)
Dak Prescott (7.8) Gardner Minshew (5.9)
Ezekiel Elliott (7.0) Kenneth Gainwell (6.1)
Tony Pollard (6.0) Eagles DST (4.3)
Amari Cooper (6.7)

CeeDee Lamb (6.6)

Ced Wilson (4.5)

Dalton Schultz (6.9)

Cowboys DST (4.2)

Playoff scenarios: The Steelers and Ravens both need a win and a Colts loss to keep playoff hopes alive; the Ravens also need the Chargers and Dolphins to lose. Both teams are expected to play their starters all game long.

Steelers RTG (MAX 10) Ravens RTG (MAX 10)
Ben Roethlisberger (2.7) Tyler Huntley (7.1)
Najee Harris (8.9) Devonta Freeman (7.1)
Chase Claypool (6.8) Latavius Murray (4.7)
Ray-Ray McCloud (3.2) Marquise Brown (5.9)
James Washington (3.0) Rashod Bateman (5.7)
Pat Freiermuth (7.1) Mark Andrews (9.4)
Steelers DST (6.9) Ravens DST (6.5)

Playoff scenarios: The Bengals have already clinched a home-playoff game. Joe Burrow announced this week he wasn’t going to play and Joe Mixon, among other Bengals, landed on the Reserve/Covid list. Expect the backups to play plenty

Bengals RTG (MAX 10) Browns RTG (MAX 10)
Brandon Allen (1.1) Case Keenum (3.9)
Chris Evans (5.1) Nick Chubb (9.8)
Bengals DST (5.3) Donovan Peoples-Jones (5.2)

Jarvis Landry (4.7)

Austin Hooper (5.9)

David Njoku (4.5)

Browns DST (7.2)

Playoff scenarios: The Packers have clinched the No. 1 seed in NFC and may rest starters for some of the game.

Packers RTG (MAX 10) Lions RTG (MAX 10)
Aaron Rodgers (7.0) Tim Boyle (1.6)
Aaron Jones (6.8) D’Andre Swift (7.2)
A.J. Dillon (6.5) Jamaal Williams (6.6)
Patrick Taylor (5.2) Amon-Ra St. Brown (9.1)
Davante Adams (7.7) Josh Reynolds (5.5)
Allen Lazard (4.4) Lions DST (5.1)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (4.3)

Packers DST (4.9)

Playoff scenarios: A Titans win clinches the No. 1 seed in AFC for Tennessee.

Titans RTG (MAX 10) Texans RTG (MAX 10)
Ryan Tannehill (5.4) Davis Mills (5.5)
D’Onta Foreman (8.6) Rex Burkhead (6.4)
Dontrell Hilliard (4.5) Brandin Cooks (8.1)
A.J. Brown (8.7) Chris Conley (2.3)
Julio Jones (3.8) Texans DST (2.9)
Titans DST (7.4)

Playoff scenarios: A Colts win clinches a playoff berth for Indianapolis. A Colts loss creates potential chaos.

Colts RTG (MAX 10) Jaguars RTG (MAX 10)
Carson Wentz (6.8) Trevor Lawrence (3.8)
Jonathan Taylor (9.9) Dare Ogunbowale (6.2)
Michael Pittman (8.2) Laquon Treadwell (4.8)
T.Y. Hilton (3.4) Marvin Jones (3.6)
Colts DST (9.5) Jaguars DST (2.7)

Playoff scenarios: LOL.

Bears RTG (MAX 10) Vikings RTG (MAX 10)
Andy Dalton (5.2) Kirk Cousins (7.5)
David Montgomery (9.3) Dalvin Cook (9.7)
Darnell Mooney (7.8) Justin Jefferson (9.3)
Allen Robinson (2.8) K.J. Osborn (7.2)
Cole Kmet (5.1) Tyler Conklin (5.5)
Bears DST (7.3) Vikings DST (6.1)

Playoff scenarios: Yeah right.

Washington RTG (MAX 10) Giants RTG (MAX 10)
Taylor Heinicke (6.6) Mike Glennon (1.0)
Antonio Gibson (7.7) Saquon Barkley (7.3)
Jaret Patterson (5.7) Devontae Booker (5.0)
Terry McLaurin (7.5) Kenny Golladay (2.6)
John Bates (4.7) Evan Engram (5.3)
Football Team DST (9.0) Giants DST (3.7)

Playoff scenarios: A Patriots win coupled with a Bills loss clinches the AFC East for New England. A Patriots win along with losses by the Chiefs, Titans and Bills clinches the No. 1 seed in AFC for New England. There’s a chance the Patriots pull back their starters if they realize the Bills are going to win their game, but that might not happen until the second half, if at all

Patriots RTG (MAX 10) Dolphins RTG (MAX 10)
Mac Jones (6.0) Tua Tagovailoa (3.7)
Damien Harris (8.7) Duke Johnson (5.9)
Rhamondre Stevenson (8.5) Myles Gaskin (4.9)
Brandon Bolden (4.8) Jaylen Waddle (7.3)
Jakobi Meyers (5.4) DeVante Parker (5.6)
Kendrick Bourne (4.2) Mike Gesicki (6.1)
Hunter Henry (4.9) Dolphins DST (5.7)
Patriots DST (8.1)

Playoff scenarios: A Bills win clinches the AFC East. The Bills can also move as high as the No. 2 seed if the Bengals and Chiefs lose. They’ll play their starters.

Jets RTG (MAX 10) Bills RTG (MAX 10)
Zach Wilson (5.8) Josh Allen (8.7)
Ty Johnson (5.5) Devin Singletary (9.2)
Tevin Coleman (5.8) Stefon Diggs (8.3)
Braxton Berrios (5.1) Gabriel Davis (6.5)
Jets DST (5.5) Cole Beasley (3.9)

Dawson Knox (7.0)

Bills DST (7.6)

Playoff scenarios: A win and a 49ers loss clinches a playoff berth for the Saints

Saints RTG (MAX 10) Falcons RTG (MAX 10)
Taysom Hill (7.4) Matt Ryan (4.9)
Alvin Kamara (9.6) Mike Davis (5.6)
Marquez Callaway (6.1) Russell Gage (5.0)
Deonte Harris (2.5) Cordarrelle Patterson (6.0)
Saints DST (8.5) Hayden Hurst (6.3)

Falcons DST (5.9)

Playoff scenarios: The Buccaneers have clinched a first-round home playoff game and could rest starters if they wish to. The Buccaneers are also alive for the No. 2 seed and a potential home game in the divisional round

Panthers RTG (MAX 10) Buccaneers RTG (MAX 10)
Sam Darnold (1.5) Tom Brady (9.3)
Chuba Hubbard (6.3) Le’Veon Bell (5.4)
Ameer Abdullah (4.3) Mike Evans (8.9)
D.J. Moore (5.8) Cyril Grayson (6.3)
Robby Anderson (2.4) Tyler Johnson (3.5)
Panthers DST (3.3) Breshad Perriman (2.9)

Rob Gronkowski (8.0)

Cameron Brate (5.7)

Buccaneers DST (8.3)

Playoff scenarios: A Cardinals win and Rams loss clinches the NFC West for Arizona. The Cardinals are still in the playoffs even with a loss. The only way they’d pull back starters is if it’s abundantly clear the Rams won’t lose, and even then they might stick with their main guys

Seahawks RTG (MAX 10) Cardinals RTG (MAX 10)
Russell Wilson (7.7) Kyler Murray (9.2)
Rashaad Penny (8.8) Chase Edmonds (7.5)
Tyler Lockett (8.4) Christian Kirk (6.9)
DK Metcalf (8.0) Antoine Wesley (6.2)
Gerald Everett (7.3) A.J. Green (4.9)
Seahawks DST (4.7) Zach Ertz (7.4)

Cardinals DST (7.0)

Playoff scenarios: A Rams win clinches the NFC West and a home playoff game for Los Angeles. The Rams are still locked into the playoffs with a loss. The 49ers can clinch a playoff berth with either a win against the Rams or a Saints loss to the Falcons. Both teams should go all out.

49ers RTG (MAX 10) Rams RTG (MAX 10)
Trey Lance (7.2) Matthew Stafford (7.6)
Elijah Mitchell (9.1) Sony Michel (8.4)
Deebo Samuel (9.0) Odell Beckham Jr. (7.0)
Brandon Aiyuk (7.6) Van Jefferson (6.4)
George Kittle (8.3) Cooper Kupp (10.0)
49ers DST (6.3) Tyler Higbee (6.5)

Rams DST (7.1)

Playoff scenarios: If the Chargers win, they’ll clinch a playoff berth. If they lose, they’re out. The Raiders’ easiest path to the playoffs is a win, but they can also make it if the Colts and Steelers lose. There’s also a scenario where BOTH teams can make the playoffs if they tie and the Colts lose.

Chargers RTG (MAX 10) Raiders RTG (MAX 10)
Justin Herbert (8.6) Derek Carr (6.9)
Austin Ekeler (9.5) Josh Jacobs (9.4)
Justin Jackson (5.3) Hunter Renfrow (7.4)
Keenan Allen (7.9) Zay Jones (5.3)
Mike Williams (7.1) Darren Waller (7.7)
Jalen Guyton (4.1) Raiders DST (3.5)
Jared Cook (6.7)

Chargers DST (6.7)

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