Saturday, January 29, 2022

Raiders vs. Chargers odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, prediction from NFL model on 135-96 run

The final game of the NFL’s 2021-22 regular season takes place on Sunday evening in Las Vegas. Allegiant Stadium hosts a Sunday Night Football matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Las Vegas Raiders, and the game has lofty stakes. The winner will advance to the AFC Playoffs in a wild card spot. Both teams enter with 9-7 records through 16 games, with the Chargers at 4-3 on the road and the Raiders at 4-4 at home.

Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as the three-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points expected, is 49 in the latest Raiders vs. Chargers odds. Before making any Chargers vs. Raiders picks, be sure to see the Sunday Night Football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021 season on an incredible 135-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chargers vs. Raiders, and just locked in its Week 18 SNF picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Raiders vs. Chargers:

  • Raiders vs. Chargers spread: Chargers -3 
  • Raiders vs. Chargers over-under: 49 points 
  • Raiders vs. Chargers money line: Chargers -160, Raiders +140 
  • LAC: The Chargers are 4-3 against the spread in road games 
  • LV: The Raiders are 3-5 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why the Chargers can cover

The Chargers are elite on offense, and the team’s statistical profile is staggering. Los Angeles is averaging 27.6 points per game this season, No. 6 in the NFL, and is in the top five in points per possession (2.64) and scoring percentage, putting points on the board on 45.7 percent of possessions. Led by Pro Bowl quarterback Justin Herbert, Los Angeles is in the top five in total offense, averaging 387.1 yards per game. The Chargers are No. 3 in the NFL in first downs per game (23.4), and Los Angeles protects the ball effectively, committing only 20 turnovers and losing six fumbles in 16 games. 

While the Chargers are strong in many aspects, the passing game is the top strength. Los Angeles is averaging 277.8 yards per game through the air, ranking in the top five of the NFL, and is in the top 10 of the league in passing touchdowns (35), completion rate (67 percent), yards per attempt (7.6), passer rating (99.2) and sacks allowed (28).

Why the Raiders can cover

The Raiders are above-average in total offense and total defense. Las Vegas is averaging 364.9 yards per game on offense, while giving up only 330.8 yards on defense. That sets a strong baseline, and the Raiders are in the top eight of the NFL in passing offense (274.7 yards per game), completion rate (69.0 percent), yards per pass attempt (7.8) and fourth-down efficiency (61.1 percent). 

This is a juicy matchup for Las Vegas on offense, with Los Angeles deploying a bottom-five rushing defense in the NFL. The Chargers are giving up 136.7 yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry to opposing teams, and Los Angeles is the NFL’s worst team in third down defense, allowing opponents to move the chains on 49.7 percent of attempts. On the other side, the Raiders are in the top 10 in passing yards allowed (214.6 per game) and yards allowed per pass attempt (6.7), with the Chargers scuffling a bit on the ground, producing only 109.3 rushing yards per game.

How to make Chargers vs. Raiders picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 56 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s Raiders vs. Chargers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Raiders vs. Chargers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Raiders spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.  

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