Thursday, January 27, 2022

Alabama vs. Georgia odds, prediction: 2022 College Football Playoff National Championship picks from top model

The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs dominated everyone except the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide this season, and they meet again on Jan. 10 in the 2022 College Football Playoff Championship. The Bulldogs (13-1) went into the SEC Championship game on one of the most dominant runs in recent college football history, but they couldn’t top the Tide. Alabama (13-1) lit up a Georgia defense that hadn’t allowed more than 17 points in a game all year to take a 41-24 victory on Dec. 4. The Crimson Tide are scoring more than 42 points per game and allowing just over 20, while the Bulldogs score more than 39 and give up just 9.5.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Georgia odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is set at 52. Before locking in any Georgia vs. Alabama picks or CFP title game predictions, be sure to see the betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the final week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:

  • Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Bulldogs -2.5
  • Alabama vs. Georgia over-under: 52 points
  • Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Crimson Tide +115, Bulldogs -135
  • BAMA: Alabama is 49-35 ATS vs. ranked teams since Nick Saban was hired in 2007.
  • UGA: Georgia is 21-13 ATS against ranked teams under Kirby Smart (since 2016)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Why Alabama can cover 

The Tide will be motivated by being an underdog for a second straight time against Georgia. The Bulldogs were favored by six last month, and before that game Bama had not been an underdog since 2015. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and Alabama has a clear edge at QB, with Bryce Young third in the nation with 3,503 passing yards and second with 46 TD passes. He threw for 421 yards as Alabama put up 536 in the SEC title game. WR Jameson Williams (20.7 yards per catch) and Ja’Corey Brooks (16.1) both can make big plays.

Williams had 187 yards in the last meeting as the Tide beat Georgia for the seventh straight time. They can get the job done on the ground, as they did in their Cotton Bowl win. RB Brian Robinson Jr. quietly had 1,071 yards and 14 TDs in the regular season, and he rushed for 204 yards (7.8 per carry) in the Cotton Bowl. Bama’s defense is better against the run than Georgia’s vaunted unit, ranking third in the nation (81.4 yards per game) while allowing 304.6 overall (seventh). Will Anderson Jr. (nation-best 17.5 sacks) also should have a major impact.   

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia is 5-2 ATS in postseason games since coach Kirby Smart was hired in 2016, and it has the nation’s top scoring defense. All-Americans Jordan Davis and Nakobe Dean lead a stellar front seven, with 340-pound nose tackle Davis clogging the middle. Devonte Wyatt and Travon Walker help Davis up front on a defense that allows 82.2 yards per game on the ground (fourth in FBS) and 172.2 through the air (third). Walker has five sacks, Dean has a team-high six and fellow linebacker Channing Tindall has five. The Bulldogs have 45 sacks, tied for fourth-most.   

Dean also has two interceptions, returning one for a TD, while Derion Kendrick has four. The elite corner should help lock down Jaylen Williams and force the unknown players to beat them with John Metchie out. Metchie had six catches for 97 yards in the last meeting. The Bama secondary is banged up, and Stetson Bennett threw for 340 yards and three TDs in the SEC title game, but his two interceptions were crucial. He should count a lot on RB James Cook (920 total yards) to catch passes, while Zamir White (772 yards, 10 TDs) can get the tough yards. 

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 47 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.

So who wins Georgia vs. Alabama in the 2022 College Football National Championship game? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a roll on its college football picks, and find out.

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