Thursday, January 27, 2022

2022 CFP National Championship game prediction, odds: Georgia vs. Alabama picks from expert on 16-3 run

Georgia Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart may have learned a lot while serving under Nick Saban for 11 seasons, including nine with the Alabama Crimson Tide, but there was one thing he has yet to ascertain. Since joining Georgia prior to the 2016 season, Smart has lost all four meetings with Saban’s Crimson Tide despite owning a lead in each contest. The 46-year-old hopes to get that elusive victory when his third-ranked Bulldogs (13-1) square off against Saban and No. 1 Alabama (13-1) in the 2022 CFP National Championship Game on Monday in Indianapolis.

Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulldogs as 2.5-point favorites in the latest Georgia vs. Alabama odds. The over-under for total points is set at 52.5. Before finalizing any Alabama vs. Georgia picks or CFP title game predictions, you’ll want to see the betting advice from SportsLine senior analyst Josh Nagel.

Nagel is a Nevada-based handicapper with more than 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry. Since the start of the 2018 college football season, he is 207-174-6 on all college football picks, returning a profit of $1,497.

In addition, Nagel has been locked in on the tendencies of Georgia, going an astounding 16-3 in his last 19 picks involving the Bulldogs. Anyone who has followed his advice is way up.

Now, he has set his sights on Alabama vs. Georgia in the College Football Playoff National Championship game 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are several college football odds and trend for Georgia vs. Alabama:

  • Georgia vs. Alabama spread: Bulldogs -2.5
  • Georgia vs. Alabama over-under: 52.5 points
  • Georgia vs. Alabama money line: Bulldogs -135, Crimson Tide +115
  • UGA: The Bulldogs are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games away from home
  • BAMA: The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six contests as underdogs

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

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Why Georgia can cover 

Georgia’s defense was uncharacteristically porous against Alabama in the SEC title game, allowing 536 yards in total offense — including 421 through the air — and a whopping 41 points. The unit was closer to its usual stellar form against Michigan in the Orange Bowl, however, giving up 328 total yards and 237 passing while limiting the Wolverines to season-low 11 points. Despite the subpar performance versus Alabama, Georgia ranks first in the nation in points allowed (9.6) and second in total defense with an average of 259.1 yards surrendered.

The defense has yielded an FBS-low 12 touchdowns in 2021, including one-third of that total against Alabama, and has kept the opposing offense out of the end zone in six of the team’s 14 games. Georgia possesses the best red-zone defense in the nation, as it has kept opponents off the scoreboard on 12 of 28 opportunities this season. Junior linebacker Nakobe Dean (team-high six) is one of four players with at least five sacks for the Bulldogs, who are tied for fourth in the country with 45.

Why Alabama can cover

No matter how strong Georgia’s defense has been over the last 13 years, the Crimson Tide have been able to solve it. While winning the last seven meetings between the SEC rivals, Alabama has scored at least 26 points in each contest. It has registered 41 three times during the streak, including last year’s regular-season matchup and the 2021 SEC championship game last month.

Alabama’s biggest strength on offense is its aerial attack, which ranks eighth in the nation (336 yards), but the team had a field day on the ground in its 27-6 victory over Cincinnati in the Cotton Bowl. The Crimson Tide recorded 301 rushing yards to set the school record for a bowl game as Brian Robinson Jr. gained a career-high 204 on 26 carries. The redshirt senior is 18th in the country with 1,269 yards and needs 106 to pass Johnny Musso for 10th place on Alabama’s all-time list.

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

Nagel is leaning over on the total, and he also says one side of the spread is “too much of a value to pass up.” You can only see the pick here.

So who will win Georgia vs. Alabama in the 2022 College Football National Championship game? And which side of the spread do you need to jump on now? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Georgia spread you need to back, all from the expert who has nailed 16 of his last 19 Georgia picks.

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