Wednesday, January 19, 2022

Steelers vs. Chiefs odds, line: 2022 NFL playoff picks, Wild Card prediction from model on 136-97 roll

The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday in the opening round of the NFL playoffs 2022. The Steelers (9-7-1), who are making their second consecutive postseason appearance and 33rd all-time, earned the seventh seed in the NFL playoff bracket after defeating the Baltimore Ravens 16-13 in overtime on Sunday and having the Las Vegas Raiders beat the Los Angeles Chargers that same night. The Jacksonville Jaguars also gave a helping hand by shocking the Indianapolis Colts. The Chiefs (12-5), who are in the NFL playoffs for the seventh consecutive year, are the No. 2 seed after squeezing by the Denver Broncos in Week 18.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 12.5-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs bets, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s NFL Wild Card Weekend picks. Here are several NFL odds and Wild Card playoff betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:

  • Steelers vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -12.5 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs over-under: 46.5 points 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs money line: Pittsburgh +550, Kansas City -800 
  • PIT: Steelers are 16-6-3 against the spread in their last 25 games in January 
  • KC: Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home favorites

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why the Chiefs can cover 

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes continues to be one of the best quarterbacks in the league and finished the regular season on a roll, completing 27-of-44 passes for 270 yards and two touchdowns in last Saturday’s win over the Denver Broncos. Mahomes threw for more than 250 yards and two scores in 12 games, including the last five. Against the Steelers in Week 16, he was on fire. Mahomes completed 23-of-30 passes (76.7 percent) for 258 yards and three touchdowns.

Mahomes’ favorite target has been wide receiver Tyreek Hill. Despite a heel injury, Hill is expected to be ready for Sunday’s game. Hill was limited to two catches in the last meeting with Pittsburgh, but led the Chiefs with 111 receptions for 1,239 yards and nine scores. He registered 13 explosive plays of 20 or more yards and had 444 yards after the catch. He also converted 75 first downs.

Why the Steelers can cover

The Steelers have won four of six and are coming off back-to-back must-wins over Cleveland and Baltimore. The Steelers are guided by 18-year veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who completed 390-of-605 passes (64.5 percent) for 3,740 yards and 22 touchdowns in the regular season. He was intercepted 10 times and had a rating of 86.8 in 16 games, but has come up big when needed. In the win over the Ravens, he completed 30-of-44 passes (68.2 percent) for 244 yards and one touchdown.

Also spearheading the offense is rookie running back Najee Harris. He was nearly the Steelers’ entire rushing attack this year, carrying 307 times for 1,200 yards (3.9 average) and seven touchdowns. That was 271 more carries and 1,102 more yards than Benny Snell, the team’s second-leading rusher. Harris registered six explosive plays of 20 yards or more and converted 62 first downs. In the Jan. 3 win over Cleveland, Harris carried 28 times for 188 yards (6.7 average) and one touchdown.

How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Chiefs vs. Steelers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs during NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2022? And which side cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned over $7,400 on its NFL picks over the last six seasons, and find out.

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