Friday, January 28, 2022

Suns vs. Pacers prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 14 best bets from model on 52-28 run

The Indiana Pacers face a significant challenge on Friday evening at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers welcome the Phoenix Suns to Indianapolis for a cross-conference game, with Phoenix bringing a 14-4 record on the road and a 31-9 overall mark. Indiana is 12-11 at home despite a 15-27 overall record. Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) and Torrey Craig (quad) are listed as questionable for the Pacers. Cameron Johnson (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Suns.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 5.5-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220 in the latest Suns vs. Pacers odds. Before making any Pacers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Pacers, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pacers vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Pacers spread: Suns -5.5
  • Suns vs. Pacers over-under: 220 points
  • Suns vs. Pacers money line: Suns -220, Pacers +180
  • PHX: The Suns are 10-8 against the spread in road games
  • IND: The Pacers are 13-9-1 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Indiana Pacers vs. Phoenix Suns

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Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix’s statistical profile is highly efficient. The Suns are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up only 104.2 points per 100 possessions. Phoenix is also No. 3 in the NBA in field-goal percentage defense and No. 5 in the NBA in 3-point percentage. On offense, the Suns produce 26.1 assists per game while assisting on well over 60 percent of field goals, and Phoenix averages 1.88 assists for every turnover. 

Phoenix is in the top 10 of the NBA in points in the paint, averaging 47.4 per game, and the Suns are above-average in ball security, committing only 13.9 turnovers per game. The Suns are elite in 3-point shooting, making 36.9 percent of attempts, and Phoenix makes 47.3 percent of field goals, No. 3 overall. Indiana struggles in 3-point shooting on offense and ranks in the bottom 10 in the NBA in free-throw prevention on defense.

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is soundly out-pacing its win-loss record from a statistical perspective. The Pacers are grabbing 29.6 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, a top-five figure in the NBA. Indiana is also converting 54.8 percent of 2-point attempts while averaging 48.1 points in the paint per game. The Pacers pass at a high level, averaging 24.0 assists per game, and the Suns are below-average on the glass on both sides of the floor. 

Defensively, Indiana leads the NBA in 3-pointers per game, giving up 10.8 triples per game. The Pacers give up only 21.9 assists per game, No. 3 in the NBA, and Indiana secures more than 74 percent of available defensive rebounds. The Pacers protect the rim at an elite level, averaging 5.9 blocked shots per game, and Phoenix ranks in the bottom five of the NBA in free-throw creation on the offensive side.

How to make Pacers vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Suns vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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