The Kansas City Chiefs finished the regular season on a high note and will host an NFL Wild Card Weekend playoff matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City won nine of its final 10 games, arguably finishing as the hottest team in the league. The Chiefs are 12-5 overall and 7-2 at home, and Kansas City will welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers to Arrowhead Stadium. Pittsburgh is 9-7-1 after winning three of its last four games, and the Steelers are 3-5 on the road this season.
Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Kansas City. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 12.5-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46 in its latest Chiefs vs. Steelers odds. Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs picks and NFL playoff predictions, make sure you check out what red-hot SportsLine’s resident Chiefs expert, Larry Hartstein, has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. This season he has been on fire. Hartstein is 67-45 with his last 112 sides, for a profit of more than $1,600.
In addition, Hartstein has gone an astounding 22-8 on his last 30 picks involving Kansas City, returning $1300 to $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Steelers and just locked in his Wild Card playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and Wild Card betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:
- Chiefs vs. Steelers spread: Chiefs – 12.5
- Chiefs vs. Steelers over-under: 46 points
- Chiefs vs. Steelers moneyline: Chiefs -800, Steelers +550
- PITT: Steelers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games
- KC: Chiefs are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Why the Steelers can cover
Pittsburgh leads the NFL in sacks this season, taking down opposing quarterbacks on 55 occasions. The Steelers are also elite in keeping opponents out of the end zone, posting a top-five mark in red zone efficiency allowed (50.8 percent). Pittsburgh allows opponents to convert third downs at only a 37.1 percent clip, forcing 22 turnovers.
The Steelers are in the top 10 of the NFL in pass defense, allowing 215.1 yards per game, and are above-average in passer rating allowed (88.7), completion rate allowed (63.1 percent), yards per attempt allowed (7.1), touchdown passes allowed (24) and interceptions (13). Kansas City is very strong on offense, but ball security has been an issue, with the Chiefs committing 25 turnovers, including the third-most fumbles lost (12) in the NFL this season.
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs are averaging 4.5 yards per carry this season, sprinkling in an effective running game when needed. Pittsburgh is dead-last in the NFL in run defense, allowing 146.1 yards per game, and the Steelers are also last in allowing 5.0 yards per carry to the opposition.
The Chiefs lead the entire NFL in multiple categories, including first downs (419), yards per drive (39.7), points per drive (2.72), third down efficiency (52.2 percent) and fourth down efficiency (66.7 percent). Kansas City is also in the top five in total offense, scoring offense, scoring percentage, yards per play, passing offense and sack avoidance, putting together a unit with very few weaknesses.
How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks
Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning over on the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side of the Chiefs vs. Steelers spread to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs in the NFL playoffs 2022? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s Steelers vs. Chiefs picks, all from the NFL expert who’s 22-8 on picks involving Kansas City, and find out.