Monday, January 24, 2022

Raiders vs. Bengals odds, line: 2022 NFL playoff picks, Wild Card predictions by proven model on 136-97 roll

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow will make his NFL playoff debut when the Cincinnati Bengals square off against the Las Vegas Raiders in the first game of the NFL’s Super Wild Card Weekend on Saturday. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Burrow has started 26 games in his career, throwing 47 touchdowns against 19 interceptions, but none of those starts has come in the postseason. On Saturday, Burrow squares off against 30-year-old Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr, who also is making his postseason debut.

Kickoff is 4:30 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a six-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Bengals odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under for total points scored is 48.5. Before you make any Bengals vs. Raiders picks or NFL playoff predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has zeroed in on Raiders vs. Bengals and locked in another confident against-the-spread pick. You can see it only at SportsLine. Now, here are several NFL betting lines for Raiders vs. Bengals:

  • Raiders vs. Bengals spread: Cincinnati -6
  • Raiders vs. Bengals Over-Under: 48.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Bengals money line: Cincinnati -270, Las Vegas +220
  • CIN: WR Ja’Marr Chase had the second most receiving yards (1,455) by a rookie in a season
  • LV: QB Derek Carr ranked fifth in the NFL in passing yards (4,804)

Why the Bengals can cover

Cincinnati faces a quarterback, Derek Carr, who has had interception issues this season. During the regular season, the 30-year-old Carr threw a career-high 14 interceptions, and when facing pressure, he threw nine picks, which were the most in the NFL under pressure. That bodes well for a Bengals defense that pressured the opposing quarterback on 33 percent of drop-backs this season, the seventh-highest rate in the league, and forced eight interceptions while applying pressure (second-most).

In addition, Cincinnati takes on a Las Vegas defense that has struggled this season. The Raiders allowed 25.8 points per game during the regular season, which ranked 26th in the league. No playoff team gave up more points per game.

Why the Raiders can cover

No defensive player has been better at applying pressure than Maxx Crosby. A former fourth round pick from the 2019 NFL Draft, Crosby had 92 pressures this season, according to Pro Football Focus. That was not only the most of any player, but 15 more than the next best player, the RamsAaron Donald (77).

In addition, Las Vegas excels as an underdog. When the Raiders have been underdogs of five points or more this season, they are 4-1 straight-up. Quarterback Derek Carr also thrives as an underdog, leading his team to a NFL-best 14 career wins since 2014 when the Raiders are underdogs of five-plus points. No other quarterback in the league has more than nine wins in that scenario.

How to make Raiders vs. Bengals picks

Now, the model has broken down Raiders vs. Bengals from every angle. The model is leaning Over the total, but its much stronger play is on the spread. In fact, it says one team is covering in nearly 60 percent of simulations. See who to back here.

So who wins Bengals vs. Raiders in their NFL Wild Card 2022 game? And which team covers almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Bengals spread you should jump on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,400.

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