The Pittsburgh Steelers find themselves in a familiar position after punching their ticket to the postseason for the 33rd time in franchise history. The two-time defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs are also in a familiar spot, earning their seventh consecutive playoff bid after winning the AFC West for the sixth year in a row. The two teams will clash on Sunday Night Football in an NFL Wild Card Weekend matchup. This will be the third time the Steelers (9-7-1) and Chiefs (12-5) will have met in the NFL playoff bracket. They split the previous two meetings, with the Chiefs winning in overtime in 1993 and the Steelers winning in 2016.
Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 12.5-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 46. Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs bets, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s NFL Wild Card Weekend picks. Here are several NFL odds and Wild Card playoff betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:
- Steelers vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -12.5
- Steelers vs. Chiefs over-under: 46 points
- Steelers vs. Chiefs money line: Pittsburgh +550, Kansas City -800
- PIT: Steelers are 16-6-3 against the spread in their last 25 games in January
- KC: Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home favorites
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Why the Chiefs can cover
Wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who is dealing with a heel injury, has been Kansas City’s top weapon in the passing game. Although he has been limited the past three weeks, including a two-catch, 19-yard performance against the Steelers on Dec. 26, he leads the Chiefs in receiving with 111 catches for 1,239 yards and nine touchdowns. Hill has 13 plays of 20 or more yards, including 444 yards after the catch.
Also posing problems for opposing defenses is tight end Travis Kelce, who is second on the team in receptions. In just 16 games, Kelce has 92 grabs for 1,125 yards (12.2 average) and nine touchdowns. He also has 13 explosive plays of more than 20 yards as well as 63 first-down conversions.
Why the Steelers can cover
Linebacker T.J. Watt has been a menace to opposing offenses and tied the league record for sacks in a season with 22.5 despite playing in just 15 games due to injury. Watt registered a sack, batted down a pass and forced a fumble in last Sunday’s win over the Ravens. For the season, he was among the team leaders with 64 tackles, including 48 solo, with 21 tackles for loss. He forced five fumbles, recovered three and broke up seven passes.
Also powering Pittsburgh’s defense is safety Minkah Fitzpatrick. He registered a team-high 124 tackles, including 84 solo, with one tackle for loss. He also had seven pass breakups, two interceptions, one forced fumble and one fumble recovery. Fitzpatrick has come to play when facing the league’s best. In the Dec. 26 meeting at Kansas City, he had 12 tackles, including five solo, with one pass breakup.
How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Chiefs vs. Steelers pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs during NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2022? And which side cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned over $7,400 on its NFL picks over the last six seasons, and find out.