Saturday, May 28, 2022

Steelers vs. Chiefs odds, line: 2022 NFL playoff picks, Wild Card prediction from proven model on 136-97 roll

The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to add to their postseason win total when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC Wild Card matchup on Sunday Night Football. The Steelers (9-7-1) are tied with the Green Bay Packers for the second-most playoff wins of all-time (36) and have a .581 playoff winning percentage. The Chiefs (12-5), who are just 15-20 for a .429 postseason winning percentage, have gone 5-1 over the past two seasons with two Super Bowl appearances, including the Super Bowl LIV title.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 13-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Steelers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s NFL Wild Card Weekend picks. Here are several NFL odds and Wild Card playoff betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:

  • Steelers vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -13 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs over-under: 46.5 points 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs money line: Pittsburgh +550, Kansas City -800 
  • PIT: Steelers are 16-6-3 against the spread in their last 25 games in January 
  • KC: Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home favorites

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why the Chiefs can cover 

Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes ranked fourth in the league with 4,839 passing yards and 37 touchdown passes. In eight career postseason starts, Mahomes has thrown for 2,324 yards (290.5 per game) with 21 total touchdowns, including 17 passing, against four interceptions for a 100.4 rating. During the 2019 season, he became the youngest quarterback to win Super Bowl MVP honors as the Chiefs earned the Super Bowl LIV title.

Kansas City’s defense is led by a solid linebacking corps, including rookie Nick Bolton, who led the Chiefs with 112 tackles. That was 32 more than linebacker Anthony Hitchens, who was second on the team. Botlon also registered 11 tackles for loss, three pass breakups and recovered one fumble he returned for a touchdown.

Why the Steelers can cover

Ben Roethlisberger will be making his 23rd career postseason start, which would tie Hall of Famer Joe Montana for fourth-most all-time by a quarterback. Roethlisberger has totaled 5,757 passing yards and 37 touchdowns, including 34 passing, in the playoffs. He has led Pittsburgh to two Super Bowl titles, including 2005 (XL) and 2008 (XLIII). In 249 regular-season games, he ranks fifth all-time in passing yards (64,088) and eighth in touchdown passes (418).

Also powering Pittsburgh’s offense is running back Najee Harris. The rookie carried 307 times for 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns, registering six explosive plays of 20 yards or more with 62 first-down conversions. Harris had his best game of his career in a 26-14 win over Cleveland on Jan. 3. In that game, he carried 28 times for 188 yards (6.7 average) and one touchdown.

How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Chiefs vs. Steelers picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs during NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2022? And which side cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned over $7,400 on its NFL picks over the last six seasons, and find out.

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