Thursday, July 18, 2024

Rams vs. Buccaneers odds, line: 2022 NFL playoff picks, Divisional round predictions from model on 137-97 roll

Tom Brady’s quest for an eighth Super Bowl title continues Sunday when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Los Angeles Rams in a Divisional Round game during the 2022 NFL playoffs. The Bucs (14-4) are banged up, but Brady has continued to lead them to victory. The Buccaneers won seven of their last eight games before dominating the Eagles in the Wild Card round last Sunday. The Rams (12-6) will present a stern test, as they won five of their final six before blitzing Arizona 34-11 on Monday night. The Rams have won the two previous playoff meetings between these teams, with a total of 26 points scored over those two NFC title games.

Kickoff at Raymond James Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a three-point favorite in the latest Rams vs. Buccaneers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Rams picks, you need to check out the 2022 NFL Playoffs predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the divisional round of the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Sunday’s Buccaneers vs. Rams playoff matchup from all angles, and just locking in its picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and Divisional Round betting lines for Rams vs. Buccaneers:

  • Rams vs. Buccaneers spread: Tampa Bay -3 
  • Rams vs. Buccaneers over-under: 48.5 points 
  • Rams vs. Buccaneers money line: Los Angeles +130, Tampa Bay -150 
  • LAR: Rams are 3-3 against the spread with the rest disadvantage since 2020 
  • TB: Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS with the rest advantage over the past two years

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams

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Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay is 10-2 against the spread in its past 12 games at Raymond James Stadium, including Super Bowl LV. Brady has found a way no matter who has been beside him, and he still has top wideout Mike Evans. The two hooked up nine times for 117 yards and a score Sunday as Brady threw for 271 yards and two TDs. The 44-year-old led the NFL with a career-high 5,316 passing yards and 43 TDs in the regular season. He also counts on tight end Rob Gronkowski, who was one of nine Bucs to catch a pass last Sunday, hauling in five including a TD reception.

L.A.’s defense is 22nd against the pass (284) and Tampa Bay’s offense is No. 1 (307.6), so Brady could pick the Rams apart. Running backs Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Giovani Bernard also raised some eyebrows with a combined 145 total yards against the Eagles and can keep the defense honest. The Bucs had three takeaways Sunday and held the NFL’s top rushing team to 95 yards on the ground. They allow fewer than 21 points per game (fifth in NFL).

Why the Rams can cover

Los Angeles is 9-4 against the spread as a road underdog under head coach Sean McVay (since 2017). It comes in with supreme confidence after holding Arizona to 183 yards, forcing two turnovers and returning an interception for a TD on Monday night. Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray was under duress all night, with Von Miller posting three tackles for loss and Aaron Donald turning in another dominant performance. Brady was sacked four times last Sunday, so he could be under pressure.   

The Rams are 5-0 against the spread in the past five meetings in Tampa. They have the league’s fifth-best passing attack (372), and the Bucs allow 239 passing yards per game (21st). Quarterback Matthew Stafford was third in the NFL in passing yards and threw for 202 yards, with two TDs and no interceptions, on Monday night. He has relied on wide receiver Cooper Kupp all season, but Odell Beckham has six TD catches in eight games since joining the team. Running back Cam Akers was impressive in his return, posting 55 rushing yards and a 40-yard reception, while Sony Michel rushed for 58 yards.

How to make Rams vs. Buccaneers picks

The model has scoured the numbers on Sunday’s Buccaneers vs. Rams matchup and revealed its coveted NFL playoff picks. It is leaning Over on the point total, with the model suggesting both quarterbacks will throw for more than 250 yards. It also says one side of the spread holds all the value. You can only get the model’s Rams vs. Buccaneers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins the Rams vs. Buccaneers matchup in the NFL playoffs 2022? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Buccaneers vs. Rams spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 137-97 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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