Friday, March 24, 2023

2022 NFL playoff odds, line, divisional round picks: Bills vs. Chiefs prediction from proven expert who’s 23-8

AFC powerhouses will face off when the Buffalo Bills (11-6) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) in the 2022 NFL playoffs on Sunday. Both teams have prolific offenses and can light up any defense. Buffalo finished the year third in scoring (29.4), while Kansas City was ranked fourth (29). These two teams combined for 58 points in a 38-20 Bills victory in Week 5.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite and the over-under for total points scored is 54 in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Chiefs vs. Bills picks, be sure to see the 2021 NFL playoff predictions from SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. This season he has been on fire. Hartstein is 70-46-1 in his last 117 NFL sides, for a profit of more than $1800.

In addition, Hartstein has gone an astounding 23-8 in his last 31 NFL picks involving Kansas City, returning $1400 to $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up. 

Now, Hartstein has zeroed in on Chiefs vs. Bills, and just locked in his NFL playoff picks and divisional round predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL playoff odds and divisional round betting lines for Bills vs. Chiefs:

  • Bills vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -1.5
  • Bills vs. Chiefs over-under: 54 points
  • Bills vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -125, Buffalo +105
  • KC: Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as home favorites
  • BUF: Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

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Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City’s offense is very versatile and has plenty of speed. Receiver Mecole Hardman has lightning-quick agility and is a deep threat in this air raid offense. Hardman was third on the team in catches (59), receiving yards (693) with two scores. The Georgia product ended the regular season on a high note. In the Week 18 win over the Denver Broncos, Hardman reeled in eight passes for 103 yards, or 12.9 yards per reception.

Receiver Byron Pringle is another secondary outlet for Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Pringle has caught 42 passes for 568 yards and five touchdowns. The Kansas State product has logged 50-plus receiving yards in five regular-season matchups. Pringle snagged five passes for 37 yards with two touchdowns in the Wild Card victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Why the Bills can cover 

Buffalo heads into this contest with one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Bills finished the season ranked fifth in total offense (381.9) and third in scoring (29.4). This unit is headlined by quarterback Josh Allen. The Wyoming product finished the year eighth in passing yards (4,407) and seventh in passing touchdowns (36). Allen lit up the Patriots‘ defense last week. He went 21-of-25 for 308 yards and five passing touchdowns.

This potent offense also features receiver Stefon Diggs and tight end Dawson Knox. Diggs finished the season ranked in the top 10 in multiple categories. The 2020 First-Team All-Pro was tied for ninth in receptions (103), eighth in receiving yards (1,225) and tied for sixth in touchdowns (10). Knox has developed into one of Allen’s favorite targets. The Ole Miss product has reeled in 49 passes for 587 yards and nine scores. Knox is coming off a great performance. The 2019 third-round pick caught five passes for 89 yards and two touchdowns. 

How to make Bills vs Chiefs picks

For Sunday’s divisional round matchup, Hartstein is leaning over on the point total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side of the Bills vs. Chiefs spread to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Bills in Sunday’s 2022 NFL playoff divisional round matchup? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Larry Hartstein’s Bills vs. Chiefs pick and analysis, all from the NFL expert who’s 23-8 on his latest against the spread picks involving Kansas City, and find out.

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