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2022 Australian Open odds, semifinal predictions: Proven tennis expert reveals Nadal vs. Berrettini picks

After grueling quarterfinal victories, Rafael Nadal and Matteo Berrettini will square off Thursday in a 2022 Australian Open men’s semifinal in Melbourne. Nadal remains on track for his record 21st Grand Slam men’s singles title after a four-hour match with Denis Shapovalov. The Canadian had sharp criticism for the umpires after the 35-year-old Nadal took his time between points and needed a long break following the fourth set. The Spaniard won the match 6-3, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-3 to advance to his seventh Aussie Open semifinal, where he will face Berrettini, who held off Gael Monfils 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 3-6, 6-2. Nadal won in Melbourne in 2009, while Berrettini is the first Italian man to reach the Australian Open semifinals.

First serve is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Nadal is the -187 favorite (risk $187 to win $100) in the latest 2022 Australian Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Berrettini is a +150 underdog (risk $100 to win $150). There are a number of other Nadal vs. Berrettini bets you can make, including an over-under on total games played at 38.5 and whether both players will win a set (Yes -165, No +127). Before making any Berrettini vs. Nadal picks, be sure to see the 2022 Australian Open predictions from internationally acclaimed tennis expert Sean Calvert.

Calvert is the elite tennis handicapper who called Stan Wawrinka winning the 2014 Australian Open at 60-1 – the last Australian title won by someone other than Djokovic or Federer. In 2019, Calvert took down a huge score on Dominic Thiem winning Indian Wells at 80-1, among many stunning calls.

And in 2021, he nailed both of his bets for the Wimbledon men’s singles final: Djokovic to beat Matteo Berrettini three sets to one (+275) and Djokovic to win and both players to win a set (+130). Anyone following his picks is way up.

Now, Calvert has scrutinized the latest Australian Open 2022 odds and released his coveted best bets for Nadal vs. Berrettini. He’s sharing all his picks and analysis at SportsLine.

Rafael Nadal vs. Matteo Berrettini preview

Nadal shares the Grand Slam record with Djokovic and Federer, and neither is playing in Melbourne. He knows this is a prime chance to add a title, especially with Alexander Zverev out of the way on his side of the draw. Nadal’s competitive fire is legendary, but the Spaniard’s fitness has been an issue after he missed several months with a foot injury. He won his only career meeting with Berrettini, beating him in three sets in the U.S. Open semifinals in 2019.

Nadal had lost just one set in Melbourne before the matchup with Shapovalov, and he is likely to be motivated by the controversy following the match. He managed to win that match despite stomach issues and being drained from the heat. The two days off will allow the 35-year-old to recover, and Berrettini has played four sets twice and had two five-setters in his five matches so far. The Italian has had trouble with his backhand, and Nadal has the experience to exploit that.

However, Berrettini is 10 years younger than Nadal and plays an all-out attacking style. The 25-year-old has played a lot of tennis in this tournament, but that will benefit him if he can push this one past three sets. Nadal made uncharacteristic mistakes in his quarterfinal, and his fitness is likely to be tested. Berrettini has a powerful serve and a dangerous forehand, and he will try to take Nadal out of his comfort zone. He has 92 aces in his five matches in Melbourne.

This is Berretini’s third Grand Slam semifinal, and he is seeking just his second final appearance. He reached the Wimbledon final last year, winning the first set before losing the next three to Djokovic. The world’s seventh-ranked player, Berrettini has five career ATP titles and won his first ATP 500 event last season at Queen’s Club. He will be the highest-ranked player world No. 5 Nadal has faced since his lengthy injury recovery and a battle with COVID. 

How to make Nadal vs. Berrettini picks 

Calvert has analyzed Berrettini vs. Nadal from every angle. He’s locked in a couple prop bets he loves, including one that returns more than 4-1. You need to see his picks and analysis before considering any 2022 Australian Open bets.

So what are the best bets you can make for the Nadal vs. Berrettini in the 2022 Australian Open men’s semifinal? And which prop pick could lead to a big return? Visit SportsLine now to see Sean Calvert’s best bets for Berrettini vs. Nadal, all from the renowned tennis expert who called Wawrinka winning this event at 60-1.

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