Monday, October 2, 2023

2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum odds, predictions: Model unveils surprising picks for NASCAR at L.A.

A quarter-mile asphalt track will cover the turf at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum for the 23-car, 150-lap 2022 Busch Light Clash on Sunday. NASCAR at the Coliseum 2022 will feature many of the sport’s top drivers and presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors to wager on a unique event. Martin Truex Jr. has been one of NASCAR’s top short track drivers and won six of 16 such races since 2019. His average position of eighth during that stretch is second only to Kyle Busch, who is also vying to be in Sunday’s 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum starting grid.

Busch is an 8-1 favorite to win the race, while Truex Jr. is right behind at 17-2 in the 2022 Busch Light Clash odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before scouring the 2022 Clash at the Coliseum starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR at the Coliseum predictions, be sure to see the latest 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 in Texas and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then, it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

It also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season-finale in Phoenix to claim the NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it called five of Larson’s wins during a historic season. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns on its NASCAR picks.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete NASCAR at the Coliseum projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s an 11-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at the Coliseum 2022 odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano finished third at the Busch Clash last season at Daytona International Speedway after starting 10th and won the 2017 event at the same location. Logano also finished fifth among all drivers in average running position (10.7) and total laps led (453) in 2021.

Logano has seven top-five finishes in short track races going back to 2019 and ten top-10 finishes in 16 races. That includes six races at NASCAR’s shortest track in Martinsville, where he’s finished in the top 10 five times. Considering his history of performing well early in the season and on some of NASCAR’s shortest tracks, he’s a strong under-the-radar choice for Sunday.

And a massive shocker: Larson, the Vegas favorite at 5-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in this open 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum starting grid. Larson is coming off one of the more dominant NASCAR seasons in recent memory and will undoubtedly be a season-long contender again in 2022. However, there are too many variables in play on Sunday.

This is a track that has been made to fit a football stadium, NASCAR is debuting its new next-gen cars after an offseason plagued by delivery issues because of global supply shortages, and the race will feature an open field. To make matters worse, Larson has just one top-five finish in a Clash race in his career. Look for the defending champion to look at this event as nothing more than a tune-up.

How to make 2022 NASCAR at the Coliseum picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at the Coliseum odds of 11-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum? And which long shots do you need to back? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at the Coliseum odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season

2022 Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum odds

Kyle Larson 5-1

Denny Hamlin 13-2

Chase Elliott 7-1

Kyle Busch 8-1

Martin Truex Jr. 17-2

Brad Keselowski 10-1

Ryan Blaney 10-1

Joey Logano 11-1

Kevin Harvick 12-1

William Byron 15-1

Kurt Busch 20-1

Alex Bowman 20-1

Christopher Bell 20-1

Austin Cindric 25-1

Ross Chastain 30-1

Tyler Reddick 30-1

Aric Almirola 40-1

A.J. Allmendinger 40-1

Chase Briscoe 50-1

Harrison Burton 60-1

Austin Dillon 75-1

Bubba Wallace 75-1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1

Cole Custer 150-1

Chris Buescher 200-1

Daniel Suarez 200-1

Ryan Preece 200-1

Erik Jones 250-1

Justin Haley 250-1

Michael McDowell 300-1

Ty Dillon 300-1

Corey Lajoie 500-1

Todd Gilliland 500-1

BJ McLeod 1000-1

Landon Cassill 1000-1

Cody Ware 1000-1

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