Tuesday, July 16, 2024

2022 Super Bowl odds, top Rams vs. Bengals prop bets: Proven NFL model picks over 1.5 TDs for Matthew Stafford

In Matthew Stafford’s final season with Detroit, the Lions finished 5-11, but he only finished about 800 passing yards shy of his total for this season with the Rams. Despite the lack of talent at his disposal in Detroit, he still finished with the 13th-most completions of at least 30 yards, with 18. This season, he led the league in that category, with 28, and he has -115 odds to complete a pass that goes for more than 38.5 yards in the latest Super Bowl 56 player props listed on Caesars Sportsbook.

Stafford’s 2022 Super Bowl opponent, the Cincinnati Bengals, gave up passes of at least 30 yards at a higher-than-average rate of nine percent this season, and the second-most yards on such plays, with 789. Is Stafford a lock to exceed that total, or should you look elsewhere for value when crafting your Super Bowl 56 betting strategy? Before making any Super Bowl 56 prop picks, be sure to see the Stafford prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Super Bowl 2022 on an incredible 137-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 14 of the regular season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

With the 2022 Super Bowl scheduled for Sunday, Feb. 13, the model has evaluated the latest Matthew Stafford props from Caesars Sportsbook and revealed its best bets.

Top Matthew Stafford prop picks for Bengals vs. Rams

One of the Super Bowl 2022 bets the model recommends: Stafford goes over 1.5 passing touchdowns. Although the Bengals defense cut down on the rate they gave up red zone touchdowns in the playoffs to 38.46 percent, that mark still finished at 56 percent for the season. Last week against the Chiefs, Kansas City’s offense scored touchdowns in three of its five red zone trips in Cincinnati territory.

This season, Stafford finished tied with Tom Brady for the most red zone touchdown passes with 32. Through the 2022 NFL playoffs, the Rams have had the highest average number of red zone scoring attempts per game with five. With weapons like Cooper Kupp, Odell Beckham Jr. and Van Jefferson at his disposal, SportsLine’s model is projecting Stafford to throw for 1.90 touchdowns on average, meaning the value is on the over for Super Bowl 56.

How to make 2022 Super Bowl prop bets for Rams vs. Bengals

In addition, the model is making four more bold Matthew Stafford prop picks, including one that hit all but six times during the regular season. You need to see the model’s top Super Bowl prop bets before making any Rams vs. Bengals picks.

Which Matthew Stafford prop bet offers the best value? And what other Stafford prop bets does the model love for Super Bowl 56? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Super Bowl 56 prop bets, all from the model that’s up over $7,500 on top-rated NFL picks.

Related articles

Share article

Latest articles

Newsletter

Subscribe to stay updated.